Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Serbia v Netherlands

Inizio: 2026-09-27 16:00 UTC

Finale: Serbia 1–2 Netherlands

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Serbia (Casa)

Previsione 13.89%7.20quota equa
EV +4.88%
Vantaggio +0.646%
Kelly +0.744%
Crescita +0.036%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.72%13.87%13.83%15.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.686.507.5516.67%14.97%15.38%13.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Netherlands (Trasferta)

Previsione 67.02%1.49quota equa
EV -0.803%
Vantaggio -0.543%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.31%66.97%67.02%69.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.401.401.4875.19%71.26%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 19.08%5.24quota equa
EV +0.765%
Vantaggio +0.145%
Kelly +0.179%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.77%19.16%19.15%20.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.834.805.2822.73%20.71%20.83%18.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Serbia (Casa): 13.89%; Netherlands (Trasferta): 67.02%; Pareggio: 19.08%. Per Serbia (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.20. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.55, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.88%.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 12.72%EV +4.88%E +0.646%K +0.744%G +0.036%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.09%EV -6.84%E -4.92%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.19%EV +0.765%E +0.145%K +0.179%G +0.001%4.1%2026-09-27 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.95%EV +4.18%E +0.558%K +0.643%G +0.027%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.38%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.67%EV -0.762%E -0.146%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-27 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 13.27%EV +1.40%E +0.192%K +0.223%G +0.003%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.74%EV -4.15%E -2.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.99%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 15:54
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.91%EV +1.40%E +0.192%K +0.223%G +0.003%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.37%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71%EV -13.17%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 15:55
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.91%EV +1.40%E +0.192%K +0.223%G +0.003%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.37%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71%EV -13.17%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 15:55
Pinnacle🎯7.03I 14.22%NM 13.71%EV -2.35%E -0.334%K -0.389%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.89%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.40%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 15:46
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.95%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 15:40
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.50%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -10.30%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 15:40
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.50%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -10.30%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 15:40
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -8.18%E -5.97%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-27 15:40
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.85%E -6.50%K -24.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.35%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-27 15:25
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -10.19%E -7.60%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-27 15:39
Suprabets🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -5.54%E -0.815%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.55%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.54%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 15:49
BetRivers🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -6.24%E -0.924%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -12.21%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-27 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -6.24%E -0.924%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -10.86%E -8.16%K -32.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -14.12%E -3.14%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-27 15:55
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -12.21%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 13:50
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.00%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.57%EV -3.62%E -0.718%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 15:54
TAB🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.35%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-27 15:39
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-27 15:46
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.35%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-27 13:40
LeoVegas🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.94%EV -7.51%E -5.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -7.51%E -5.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -16.03%E -3.64%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-27 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -7.51%E -5.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -16.03%E -3.64%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-27 15:40
Betclic (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -13.18%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-27 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.78%EV -13.18%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.45%EV -8.18%E -5.97%K -22.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -0.762%E -0.146%K -0.181%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-27 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -13.18%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.21%EV -8.18%E -5.97%K -22.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.06%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 15:55
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -16.65%E -2.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -0.803%E -0.543%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.65%E -2.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-27 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.65%E -2.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-27 15:25
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.65%E -2.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-27 15:25
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.65%E -2.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.12%E -3.14%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-27 13:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.18%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.33%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49%0.2%2026-09-27 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.09%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%0.5%2026-09-27 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.09%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%0.5%2026-09-27 15:55