Language:English
San Marino v Albania
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Marino (Local)
Prediction 2.44%40.97fair odd
EV +63.54%
Edge +0.948%
Kelly +0.963%
Growth +0.612%
assuming max odds 67.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.43%2.44%2.34%4.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
20.0038.4741.0067.005.00%2.60%2.44%1.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Albania (Visit)
Prediction 90.81%1.10fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -40.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.24%90.88%91.13%93.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.28%96.15%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 6.75%14.82fair odd
EV +34.93%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.642%
assuming max odds 20.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.65%6.68%6.54%8.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0013.9214.0020.009.09%7.18%7.14%5.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Marino (Local): 2.44%; Albania (Visit): 90.81%; Draw: 6.75%. For San Marino (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 40.97. 24 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 67.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +63.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV -29.21%E -1.01%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.14%EV -8.28%E -8.20%K -827.91%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV +34.93%E +1.75%K +1.84%G +0.642% | 7.5% | 2026-09-28 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.88%EV +24.49%E +0.480%K +0.490%G +0.120% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.07%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +28.18%E +1.48%K +1.57%G +0.441% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.42%EV -34.10%E -1.26%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.45%EV -8.28%E -8.20%K -827.91%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%EV +21.43%E +1.19%K +1.26%G +0.270% | 8.3% | 2026-09-28 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV -12.13%E -0.337%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.81%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +14.69%E +0.864%K +0.918%G +0.135% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV +1.19%E +0.080%K +0.085%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV +1.19%E +0.080%K +0.085%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV +1.19%E +0.080%K +0.085%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV +1.19%E +0.080%K +0.085%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.34%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV +1.19%E +0.080%K +0.085%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.32%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.35%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +1.19%E +0.080%K +0.085%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.32%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.35%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +1.19%E +0.080%K +0.085%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.58%EV +46.45%E +0.774%K +0.787%G +0.366% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +1.19%E +0.080%K +0.085%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.58%EV +46.45%E +0.774%K +0.787%G +0.366% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +1.19%E +0.080%K +0.085%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.43%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +1.19%E +0.080%K +0.085%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.15%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.54%EV -2.18%E -0.150%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.86%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -5.55%E -0.397%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.86%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -5.55%E -0.397%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.86%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -5.55%E -0.397%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.86%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -5.55%E -0.397%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.86%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -5.55%E -0.397%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.86%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV -5.55%E -0.397%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.94%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV -5.55%E -0.397%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.03%EV -24.33%E -0.785%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.27%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -5.55%E -0.397%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.03%EV -24.33%E -0.785%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.27%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -5.55%E -0.397%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.38%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -12.30%E -0.946%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-28 07:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.61%EV -12.13%E -0.337%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.18%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -12.30%E -0.946%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.61%EV -12.13%E -0.337%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.18%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -12.30%E -0.946%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.58%EV -12.13%E -0.337%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.27%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV -12.30%E -0.946%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -51.18%E -2.56%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -4.65%E -4.43%K -92.93%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -12.30%E -0.946%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 2.96%EV -24.33%E -0.785%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.98%EV -7.37%E -7.23%K -368.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -12.30%E -0.946%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.98%EV -43.86%E -1.91%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.97%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -12.30%E -0.946%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-29 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.51%EV -36.54%E -1.41%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.47%EV -7.37%E -7.23%K -368.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -12.30%E -0.946%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.29%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.21%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV -15.67%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.27%EV +0.077%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.29%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -15.67%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.09%EV -26.77%E -0.892%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.18%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -19.04%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-28 22:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.19%EV -29.21%E -1.01%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.08%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -19.04%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.64%EV -14.57%E -0.416%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.67%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -19.04%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.64%EV -14.57%E -0.416%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.67%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -19.04%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 2.97%EV -24.33%E -0.785%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.36%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -19.04%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.07%EV -26.77%E -0.892%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.27%EV -6.46%E -6.27%K -215.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -19.04%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-29 18:17 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.43%EV +63.54%E +0.948%K +0.963%G +0.612% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.83%EV -2.83%E -2.65%K -40.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV -25.79%E -2.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.67%EV +36.69%E +0.655%K +0.667%G +0.245% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.84%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -25.79%E -2.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 05:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.17%EV -29.21%E -1.01%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.46%EV -5.55%E -5.34%K -138.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -25.79%E -2.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.70% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.32% | 0.7% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.70% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.32% | 0.7% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.99% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.70% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.32% | 0.7% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |