默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Marino v Albania

2026-09-29 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Marino (主队)

预测 2.61%38.38公平赔率
EV +30.29%
优势 +0.606%
Kelly +0.618%
增长率 +0.187%

假设最高赔率为 50.00

博彩公司预测分布
1.93%2.85%2.50%4.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
19.0032.6431.0050.005.26%3.06%3.23%2.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Albania (客队)

预测 89.31%1.12公平赔率
EV -3.54%
优势 -3.28%
Kelly -44.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.08

博彩公司预测分布
86.01%89.12%89.65%92.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.051.051.0899.01%95.46%95.24%92.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 8.08%12.37公平赔率
EV +29.31%
优势 +1.83%
Kelly +1.95%
增长率 +0.573%

假设最高赔率为 16.00

博彩公司预测分布
6.04%8.03%7.85%10.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0012.0212.0016.0011.11%8.32%8.33%6.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:San Marino (主队):2.61%;Albania (客队):89.31%;平局:8.08%。 对于“San Marino (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为38.38。 有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为50.00,由此产生+30.29%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯50.00I 2.00%NM 1.93%EV +30.29%E +0.606%K +0.618%G +0.187%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.03%EV -6.22%E -5.93%K -124.44%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.04%EV +29.31%E +1.83%K +1.95%G +0.573%3.5%2026-09-27 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯48.00I 2.08%NM 2.00%EV +25.07%E +0.522%K +0.534%G +0.134%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.49%EV -6.22%E -5.93%K -124.44%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.51%EV +19.21%E +1.30%K +1.40%G +0.268%4.1%2026-09-27 12:35
Bovada🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -45.28%E -2.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.98%EV -7.11%E -6.84%K -177.87%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV +13.14%E +0.939%K +1.01%G +0.133%8.1%2026-09-27 13:15
William Hill🎯36.00I 2.78%NM 2.63%EV -6.19%E -0.172%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.10%EV -6.22%E -5.93%K -124.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.422%G +0.021%5.7%2026-09-27 13:15
Unibet🎯35.00I 2.86%NM 2.70%EV -8.80%E -0.251%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.03%EV -6.22%E -5.93%K -124.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.422%G +0.021%5.8%2026-09-27 09:55
BetRivers🎯35.00I 2.86%NM 2.70%EV -8.80%E -0.251%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.03%EV -6.22%E -5.93%K -124.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.422%G +0.021%5.8%2026-09-27 10:01
ATG (SE)🎯35.00I 2.86%NM 2.70%EV -8.80%E -0.251%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.03%EV -6.22%E -5.93%K -124.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.422%G +0.021%5.8%2026-09-27 10:01
Svenska Spel🎯35.00I 2.86%NM 2.70%EV -8.80%E -0.251%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.03%EV -6.22%E -5.93%K -124.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.422%G +0.021%5.8%2026-09-27 09:55
Suprabets🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.68%EV -34.86%E -1.39%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -8.01%E -7.77%K -266.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +5.06%E +0.389%K +0.422%G +0.021%8.8%2026-09-27 11:13
Coral🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV -24.43%E -0.843%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -3.54%E -3.28%K -44.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 12:10
BoyleSports🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.32%EV +6.83%E +0.167%K +0.171%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.75%EV -5.33%E -5.03%K -88.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.28%EV -24.43%E -0.843%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.80%EV -4.44%E -4.15%K -63.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 12:00
FanDuel🎯46.00I 2.17%NM 2.04%EV +19.86%E +0.432%K +0.441%G +0.088%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.15%EV -7.11%E -6.84%K -177.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 12:04
Paddy Power🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.28%EV +6.83%E +0.167%K +0.171%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.93%EV -7.11%E -6.84%K -177.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -3.02%E -0.252%K -0.275%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-27 12:05
Neds🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV -32.25%E -1.24%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.17%EV -4.44%E -4.15%K -63.36%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV -32.25%E -1.24%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.17%EV -4.44%E -4.15%K -63.36%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 2.96%EV -19.22%E -0.620%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.06%EV -8.01%E -7.77%K -266.93%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.672%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-27 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 2.96%EV -19.22%E -0.620%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.06%EV -8.01%E -7.77%K -266.93%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.672%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-27 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 2.91%EV -19.22%E -0.620%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 89.25%EV -9.79%E -9.70%K -979.43%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.84%EV -7.06%E -0.614%K -0.672%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-27 08:50
LeoVegas🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV -24.43%E -0.843%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.37%EV -6.22%E -5.93%K -124.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.10%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-27 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.50%EV -47.89%E -2.39%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.33%EV -8.01%E -7.77%K -266.93%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -11.10%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-27 11:35
betfred_uk🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.17%EV -24.43%E -0.843%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -6.22%E -5.93%K -124.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -19.18%E -1.92%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 10:25
Betclic (FR)🎯27.00I 3.70%NM 3.36%EV -29.65%E -1.10%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.32%EV -7.11%E -6.84%K -177.87%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.31%EV -21.20%E -2.17%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-27 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.66%EV -50.49%E -2.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 86.01%EV -8.01%E -7.77%K -266.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.33%EV -23.22%E -2.44%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-27 13:15
TAB🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.28%EV +6.83%E +0.167%K +0.171%G +0.012%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.34%EV -4.44%E -4.15%K -63.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -27.26%E -3.03%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 13:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎55.00I 1.82%NM 1.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.89%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32%1.6%2026-09-27 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎55.00I 1.82%NM 1.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.89%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32%1.6%2026-09-27 13:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎50.00I 2.00%NM 1.97%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.31%1.7%2026-09-27 13:10