Idioma:Español
Portugal v Norway
Resultado del partido
Portugal (Local)
Predicción 55.06%1.82momio equitativo
EV -4.75%
Ventaja -2.75%
Kelly -6.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.82%55.17%55.09%56.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.681.701.7362.11%59.49%58.82%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Norway (Visitante)
Predicción 22.11%4.52momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -0.617%
Kelly -0.799%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.20%22.07%22.06%24.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.234.254.4026.67%23.64%23.53%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.83%4.38momio equitativo
EV +3.89%
Ventaja +0.855%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.043%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.32%22.76%22.85%24.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.703.983.904.5527.03%25.10%25.64%21.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Portugal (Local): 55.06%; Norway (Visitante): 22.11%; Empate: 22.83%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.38. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.55, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.89%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.07%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.61%EV -5.15%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%EV +3.89%E +0.855%K +1.10%G +0.043% | 3.1% | 2026-09-29 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -5.85%E -3.42%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.57%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV +2.75%E +0.611%K +0.785%G +0.022% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 10:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -8.05%E -4.82%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.10%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 10:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -17.09%E -4.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.10%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-29 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -6.95%E -4.11%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -4.93%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 10:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.05%E -4.82%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.26%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.05%E -4.82%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.05%E -4.82%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 09:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.05%E -4.82%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.56%E -2.89%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.79%EV -9.71%E -5.92%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.75%EV -12.67%E -3.21%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.67%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-29 10:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -7.50%E -4.47%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.81%E -2.48%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 09:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 09:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -2.72%E -0.617%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.39%EV -11.36%E -7.05%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -9.35%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-29 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.46%EV -10.81%E -6.67%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.92%EV -14.88%E -3.86%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -10.95%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-29 10:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -6.40%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 23.96%EV -12.32%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.55%EV -8.61%E -5.18%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -14.38%E -3.83%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-29 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.55%EV -8.61%E -5.18%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -6.03%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -14.38%E -3.83%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-29 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.56%EV -10.81%E -6.67%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -9.35%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -15.52%E -4.19%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-29 09:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 42.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 17.95% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 39.69% | 32.6% | 2026-09-29 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 42.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 17.95% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 39.69% | 32.6% | 2026-09-29 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 42.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 17.92% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 39.81% | 32.9% | 2026-09-29 13:40 |