預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Poland v Bosnia & Herzegovina

開賽時間: 2026-09-25 18:47 UTC

最終賽果: Poland 0–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

29 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Poland (主隊)

預測 62.17%1.61公平賠率
EV -3.64%
優勢 -2.35%
Kelly -6.62%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.55

博彩公司預測分布
60.69%62.03%62.14%63.34%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.441.511.501.5569.44%66.29%66.67%64.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Bosnia & Herzegovina (客隊)

預測 16.00%6.25公平賠率
EV -0.780%
優勢 -0.126%
Kelly -0.150%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 6.20

博彩公司預測分布
15.00%16.07%15.95%17.01%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.405.845.906.2018.52%17.12%16.95%16.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 21.83%4.58公平賠率
EV -2.64%
優勢 -0.591%
Kelly -0.762%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.46

博彩公司預測分布
21.13%21.90%21.91%23.54%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.004.224.254.4625.00%23.70%23.53%22.42%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Poland (主隊):62.17%;Bosnia & Herzegovina (客隊):16.00%;和局:21.83%。 對於「Bosnia & Herzegovina (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.25的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為6.20,期望值為-0.780%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (29 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.77%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.97%EV -5.58%E -0.946%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -11.59%E -2.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.77%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.97%EV -5.58%E -0.946%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -11.59%E -2.86%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 18:45
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 18:40
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.27%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.23%EV -5.42%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.50%EV -2.64%E -0.591%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.64%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.58%EV -1.58%E -0.257%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -3.94%E -0.897%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.07%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -5.58%E -0.946%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 18:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 18:45
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.65%EV -5.51%E -3.62%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.22%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.65%EV -5.51%E -3.62%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.22%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 17:55
Suprabets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.80%EV -6.13%E -4.06%K -12.02%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -0.780%E -0.126%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 18:42
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.13%E -4.06%K -12.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 18:39
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 18:40
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.98%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.94%E -0.897%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-25 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.98%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 18:15
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.98%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-25 18:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.98%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-25 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.64%EV -7.37%E -4.95%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.58%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-25 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -7.18%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.49%E -2.56%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-25 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-25 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-25 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.86%E -6.80%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-25 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-25 18:45
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-09-25 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-09-25 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-09-25 18:45