语言:简体中文
Poland v Bosnia & Herzegovina
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Poland (主队)
预测 62.17%1.61公平赔率
EV -3.64%
优势 -2.35%
Kelly -6.62%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.55
博彩公司预测分布
60.69%62.03%62.14%63.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.511.501.5569.44%66.29%66.67%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bosnia & Herzegovina (客队)
预测 16.00%6.25公平赔率
EV -0.780%
优势 -0.126%
Kelly -0.150%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 6.20
博彩公司预测分布
15.00%16.07%15.95%17.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.405.845.906.2018.52%17.12%16.95%16.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.83%4.58公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -0.591%
Kelly -0.762%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.46
博彩公司预测分布
21.13%21.90%21.91%23.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.224.254.4625.00%23.70%23.53%22.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Poland (主队)：62.17%；Bosnia & Herzegovina (客队)：16.00%；平局：21.83%。 对于“Bosnia & Herzegovina (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.25。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为6.20，期望值为-0.780%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.77%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.97%EV -5.58%E -0.946%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -11.59%E -2.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.77%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.97%EV -5.58%E -0.946%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -11.59%E -2.86%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.27%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.23%EV -5.42%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.50%EV -2.64%E -0.591%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.64%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.58%EV -1.58%E -0.257%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -3.94%E -0.897%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.07%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -5.58%E -0.946%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-25 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-25 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -4.89%E -3.19%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.65%EV -5.51%E -3.62%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.22%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-25 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.65%EV -5.51%E -3.62%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.22%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-25 17:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.80%EV -6.13%E -4.06%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -0.780%E -0.126%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-25 18:42 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.13%E -4.06%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-25 18:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-25 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.98%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.94%E -0.897%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.98%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-25 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.98%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-25 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.98%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-25 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.64%EV -7.37%E -4.95%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.58%E -2.52%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.88%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -7.18%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.49%E -2.56%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-25 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -7.99%E -5.40%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.98%E -1.39%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.86%E -6.80%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-25 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.48%E -7.28%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -3.98%E -0.663%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.68%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.3% | 2026-09-25 18:45 |