默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Poland v Bosnia & Herzegovina

2026-09-25 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Poland (主队)

预测 60.91%1.64公平赔率
EV -3.15%
优势 -1.98%
Kelly -5.35%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布
59.10%60.82%60.91%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.551.561.5966.67%64.38%64.10%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bosnia & Herzegovina (客队)

预测 16.02%6.24公平赔率
EV -2.31%
优势 -0.378%
Kelly -0.452%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 6.10

博彩公司预测分布
15.89%16.22%16.02%17.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.305.625.506.1018.87%17.78%18.18%16.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.08%4.33公平赔率
EV -0.083%
优势 -0.019%
Kelly -0.025%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.33

博彩公司预测分布
22.38%22.96%23.08%23.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.884.044.004.3325.77%24.74%25.00%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Poland (主队):60.91%;Bosnia & Herzegovina (客队):16.02%;平局:23.08%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.334。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为4.330,期望值为-0.083%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.18%EV -3.15%E -1.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.35%EV -4.71%E -0.792%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.47%EV -0.083%E -0.019%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-20 20:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.73%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.89%EV -2.31%E -0.378%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.38%EV -0.083%E -0.019%K -0.025%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 20:39
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -11.92%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 20:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.92%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.92%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.92%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.92%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.92%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.92%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.92%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.77%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.97%EV -5.51%E -0.934%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -6.54%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 01:19
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.77%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.97%EV -5.51%E -0.934%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV -6.54%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 01:19
Suprabets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -15.12%E -2.85%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.61%EV -10.47%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-20 20:40
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -8.71%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-20 20:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.92%E -2.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 20:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.96%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%177.8%2026-08-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.96%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%177.8%2026-08-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 32.90%1.05I 95.24%NM 32.90%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.20%189.5%2026-08-20 20:39

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