預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Norway v Portugal

開賽時間： 2026-09-27 18:45 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

41%

34%

25%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Norway (主隊)

預測 41.15%2.43公平賠率

EV +0.397%

優勢 +0.163%

Kelly +0.276%

成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 2.44

博彩公司預測分布

39.32%41.28%41.08%42.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.172.272.252.4446.08%43.98%44.44%40.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Portugal (客隊)

預測 33.70%2.97公平賠率

EV -2.28%

優勢 -0.785%

Kelly -1.20%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.90

博彩公司預測分布

32.24%33.66%33.60%35.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.622.782.802.9038.17%36.00%35.71%34.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 25.16%3.98公平賠率

EV -0.636%

優勢 -0.161%

Kelly -0.216%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.95

博彩公司預測分布

23.33%25.07%25.32%26.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.453.703.703.9528.99%27.04%27.03%25.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Norway (主隊)：41.15%；Portugal (客隊)：33.70%；和局：25.16%。對於「Norway (主隊)」，該估計相當於2.43的公平十進位賠率。當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為2.44，對應+0.397%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊 ▼	客隊	和局	利潤率	更新時間
1xBet🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.36%EV +0.397%E +0.163%K +0.276%G +0.001%	2.71I 36.90%NM 35.44%EV -8.68%E -3.20%K -5.07%G +0.000%	3.81I 26.25%NM 25.21%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-27 18:39
Pinnacle🎯	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.16%EV -0.837%E -0.347%K -0.594%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.44%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%	3.81I 26.25%NM 25.40%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-09-27 18:30
betfred_uk🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -2.07%E -0.870%K -1.50%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -11.71%E -4.47%K -7.23%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.67%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-27 06:30
Marathon Bet🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.08%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000%	2.89I 34.60%NM 33.54%EV -2.61%E -0.904%K -1.38%G +0.000%	3.82I 26.18%NM 25.38%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-27 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.819%K -1.11%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-27 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.819%K -1.11%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-27 18:30
Suprabets🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.03%EV -4.95%E -2.14%K -3.78%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -6.32%E -2.27%K -3.55%G +0.000%	3.81I 26.25%NM 24.88%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-27 18:39
Coral🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-27 18:30
Neds🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-27 18:30
BoyleSports🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.67%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-27 18:29
LeoVegas🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-27 18:10
Casumo🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.19%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-27 18:30
Unibet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.19%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-27 18:30
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.41%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-27 18:40
NordicBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-27 18:40
Betsson🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-27 18:40
TAB🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-27 18:40
DraftKings🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-27 18:39
BetRivers🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-27 18:30
William Hill🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.96%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-09-27 18:39
SportsBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-27 18:40
FanDuel🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-27 18:39
Paddy Power🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.95%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-27 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.70%E -4.04%K -6.48%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -0.636%E -0.161%K -0.216%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-27 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -4.41%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-27 18:22
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.70%E -4.04%K -6.48%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -1.89%E -0.486%K -0.653%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-27 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-09-27 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-09-27 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 40.75%EV -10.71%E -4.94%K -9.16%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -11.37%E -4.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -13.21%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-09-27 18:30

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	和局	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%	3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%	0.8%	2026-09-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%	3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%	0.8%	2026-09-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%	3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%	0.8%	2026-09-27 18:40

Norway v Portugal

獨贏

Norway (主隊)

Portugal (客隊)

和局

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (3)

博彩交易所 (3)