Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Norway v Portugal

Inizio: 2026-09-27 18:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Norway (Casa)

Previsione 41.15%2.43quota equa
EV +0.397%
Vantaggio +0.163%
Kelly +0.276%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.32%41.28%41.08%42.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.272.252.4446.08%43.98%44.44%40.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Portugal (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.70%2.97quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -0.785%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.24%33.66%33.60%35.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.782.802.9038.17%36.00%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.16%3.98quota equa
EV -0.636%
Vantaggio -0.161%
Kelly -0.216%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.33%25.07%25.32%26.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.703.703.9528.99%27.04%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Norway (Casa): 41.15%; Portugal (Trasferta): 33.70%; Pareggio: 25.16%. Per Norway (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.43. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.44, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.397%.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.36%EV +0.397%E +0.163%K +0.276%G +0.001%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.44%EV -8.68%E -3.20%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.21%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 18:39
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.16%EV -0.837%E -0.347%K -0.594%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.44%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.40%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-27 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -2.07%E -0.870%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -11.71%E -4.47%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.67%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-27 06:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.08%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.54%EV -2.61%E -0.904%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.38%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.819%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-27 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.819%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-27 18:30
Suprabets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.03%EV -4.95%E -2.14%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.09%EV -6.32%E -2.27%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.88%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 18:39
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 18:30
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.67%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-27 18:29
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-27 18:10
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.19%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 18:30
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -6.19%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 18:30
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.41%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 18:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 18:40
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.65%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-27 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-27 18:39
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 18:30
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.96%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-27 18:39
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.28%E -0.785%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 18:39
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.95%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-27 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.70%E -4.04%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -0.636%E -0.161%K -0.216%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -4.41%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-27 18:22
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.70%E -4.04%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -1.89%E -0.486%K -0.653%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-27 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-27 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.48%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -9.02%E -3.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-27 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.75%EV -10.71%E -4.94%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -11.37%E -4.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -13.21%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-27 18:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-09-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-09-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-09-27 18:40