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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

North Macedonia v Slovenia

2026-11-16 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

North Macedonia (主队)

预测 16.12%6.20公平赔率
EV +1.53%
优势 +0.243%
Kelly +0.289%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 6.30

博彩公司预测分布
14.95%16.14%16.13%17.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.635.506.3020.00%17.77%18.18%15.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Slovenia (客队)

预测 58.20%1.72公平赔率
EV -2.81%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -4.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
55.65%58.12%58.17%59.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.611.601.6764.52%62.00%62.50%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.69%3.89公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -0.698%
Kelly -0.948%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.79

博彩公司预测分布
24.76%25.74%25.70%26.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.573.523.7930.77%28.01%28.37%26.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：North Macedonia (主队)：16.12%；Slovenia (客队)：58.20%；平局：25.69%。 对于“North Macedonia (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.20。 有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为6.30，由此产生+1.53%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
NordicBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV +1.53%E +0.243%K +0.289%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 00:29
Betsson🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV +1.53%E +0.243%K +0.289%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 00:30
1xBet🎯6.27I 15.95%NM 15.47%EV +1.05%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.80%EV -3.98%E -2.41%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.73%EV -3.16%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-13 21:55
Caesars🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.11%EV +0.727%E +0.116%K +0.139%G +0.001%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -7.47%E -4.70%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.46%EV -0.078%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.79%EV -5.14%E -3.15%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-13 21:45
Pinnacle🎯6.18I 16.18%NM 15.40%EV -0.401%E -0.065%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV -2.65%E -0.698%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV -3.30%E -0.550%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.48%EV -4.19%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-13 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV -3.30%E -0.550%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.48%EV -4.19%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-13 22:39
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.30%E -0.550%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -8.05%E -5.09%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-13 23:55
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -3.30%E -0.550%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-13 21:54
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.33%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-13 21:55
888sport🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -7.33%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-13 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -7.33%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-13 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -7.33%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-13 21:45
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-13 21:55
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.30%E -3.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-13 23:05
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -6.24%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-13 22:15
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-13 21:55
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-13 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.42%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-13 21:54
ReBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.27%EV -7.47%E -4.70%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.17%EV -10.61%E -3.05%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-13 21:55
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-13 21:45
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-13 22:15
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:35
BetRivers🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
LiveScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
Unibet (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:35
Bally Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:35
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-13 21:55
Bet Victor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -9.80%E -6.32%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-13 22:49
betano_uk🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -9.80%E -6.32%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-13 22:48
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.59%EV -9.80%E -6.32%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 21:54
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -17.81%E -3.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -9.21%E -5.91%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-13 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -19.42%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.65%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -16.52%E -5.08%K -7.34%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-13 22:34
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%3.5%2026-11-14 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%3.5%2026-11-14 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%3.5%2026-11-14 00:55