L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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North Macedonia v Slovenia

2026-11-16 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

North Macedonia (Local)

Prévision 16.12%6.20cote équitable
EV +1.53%
Avantage +0.243%
Kelly +0.289%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 6.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.95%16.14%16.13%17.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.635.506.3020.00%17.77%18.18%15.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Slovenia (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.20%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -4.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.65%58.12%58.17%59.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.611.601.6764.52%62.00%62.50%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.69%3.89cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.698%
Kelly -0.948%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%25.74%25.70%26.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.573.523.7930.77%28.01%28.37%26.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : North Macedonia (Local) : 16.12% ; Slovenia (Visiteur) : 58.20% ; Match nul : 25.69%. Pour North Macedonia (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 6.20. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.30, pour une espérance positive de +1.53%.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV +1.53%E +0.243%K +0.289%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 00:29
Betsson🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV +1.53%E +0.243%K +0.289%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 00:30
1xBet🎯6.27I 15.95%NM 15.47%EV +1.05%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.80%EV -3.98%E -2.41%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.73%EV -3.16%E -0.838%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-13 21:55
Caesars🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.11%EV +0.727%E +0.116%K +0.139%G +0.001%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -7.47%E -4.70%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.46%EV -0.078%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.79%EV -5.14%E -3.15%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-13 21:45
Pinnacle🎯6.18I 16.18%NM 15.40%EV -0.401%E -0.065%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV -2.65%E -0.698%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV -3.30%E -0.550%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.48%EV -4.19%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-13 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV -3.30%E -0.550%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.48%EV -4.19%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-13 22:39
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.30%E -0.550%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -8.05%E -5.09%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-13 23:55
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -3.30%E -0.550%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-13 21:54
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.33%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-13 21:55
888sport🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -7.33%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-13 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -7.33%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-13 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -7.33%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-13 21:45
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-13 21:55
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.30%E -3.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-13 23:05
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -6.24%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-13 22:15
BetUS🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-13 21:55
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-13 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.42%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-13 21:54
ReBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.27%EV -7.47%E -4.70%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.17%EV -10.61%E -3.05%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-13 21:55
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-13 21:45
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -11.36%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-13 22:15
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:35
BetRivers🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
LiveScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
Unibet (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:35
Bally Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:35
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -6.89%E -4.30%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-13 21:55
Bet Victor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -9.80%E -6.32%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-13 22:49
betano_uk🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.59%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.81%EV -9.80%E -6.32%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-13 22:48
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -12.97%E -2.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.59%EV -9.80%E -6.32%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 21:54
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -17.81%E -3.49%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -9.21%E -5.91%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-13 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -19.42%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.65%EV -8.63%E -5.50%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -16.52%E -5.08%K -7.34%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-13 22:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%3.5%2026-11-14 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%3.5%2026-11-14 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%3.5%2026-11-14 00:55