預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Liechtenstein v Lithuania

開賽時間: 2026-09-24 18:46 UTC

最終賽果: Liechtenstein 0–2 Lithuania

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

29 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Liechtenstein (主隊)

預測 7.04%14.21公平賠率
EV +5.56%
優勢 +0.371%
Kelly +0.397%
成長率 +0.022%

假設最高賠率為 15.00

博彩公司預測分布
6.26%7.03%7.12%8.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
11.0013.3113.0015.009.09%7.52%7.69%6.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Lithuania (客隊)

預測 73.04%1.37公平賠率
EV -2.12%
優勢 -1.58%
Kelly -6.24%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.34

博彩公司預測分布
70.20%73.04%73.14%74.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.211.271.281.3482.64%78.46%78.13%74.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 19.92%5.02公平賠率
EV -0.412%
優勢 -0.082%
Kelly -0.103%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.00

博彩公司預測分布
18.78%19.93%19.74%21.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.674.705.0023.81%21.43%21.28%20.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Liechtenstein (主隊):7.04%;Lithuania (客隊):73.04%;和局:19.92%。 對於「Liechtenstein (主隊)」,該估計相當於14.21的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為15.00,對應+5.56%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (29 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Coral🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.66%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:25
FanDuel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.56%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -2.40%E -0.491%K -0.616%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 18:30
Betsson🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.37%EV +2.05%E +0.141%K +0.152%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -14.35%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 18:10
NordicBet🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.37%EV +2.05%E +0.141%K +0.152%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -14.35%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 18:10
Suprabets🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.33%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 18:13
Neds🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.72%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.37%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.72%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.37%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 18:25
Unibet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.52%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 17:55
BetRivers🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.52%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 17:55
Casumo🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.52%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.52%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.52%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯13.25I 7.55%NM 7.24%EV -6.75%E -0.510%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.19%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.57%EV -2.40%E -0.491%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 18:15
LeoVegas🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.16%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-24 18:25
BoyleSports🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.16%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-24 17:55
William Hill🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.82%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-24 18:30
DraftKings🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.31%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 18:25
TAB🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.13%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -15.35%E -3.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-24 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.26%EV -8.69%E -6.96%K -34.78%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-24 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -10.16%E -8.26%K -44.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-24 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -10.16%E -8.26%K -44.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-24 18:05
1xBet🎯12.60I 7.94%NM 7.71%EV -11.33%E -0.899%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.50%EV -2.12%E -1.58%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.79%EV -2.20%E -0.449%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-24 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.15%EV -12.03%E -0.962%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.84%EV -11.62%E -9.60%K -55.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -6.39%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-24 18:05
Bovada🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.20%EV -7.23%E -5.70%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.15%EV -9.37%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-24 18:30
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.85%EV -10.89%E -8.92%K -49.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-24 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -19.07%E -1.66%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-24 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -7.23%E -5.70%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.39%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-24 18:25
betfred_uk🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.20%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -16.35%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-24 18:25
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.50%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%0.3%2026-09-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.50%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%0.3%2026-09-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.64%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%0.9%2026-09-24 18:25