语言:简体中文
Liechtenstein v Lithuania
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Liechtenstein (主队)
预测 7.04%14.21公平赔率
EV +5.56%
优势 +0.371%
Kelly +0.397%
增长率 +0.022%
假设最高赔率为 15.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.26%7.03%7.12%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0013.3113.0015.009.09%7.52%7.69%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lithuania (客队)
预测 73.04%1.37公平赔率
EV -2.12%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -6.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.34
博彩公司预测分布
70.20%73.04%73.14%74.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.211.271.281.3482.64%78.46%78.13%74.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.92%5.02公平赔率
EV -0.412%
优势 -0.082%
Kelly -0.103%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.78%19.93%19.74%21.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.674.705.0023.81%21.43%21.28%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Liechtenstein (主队)：7.04%；Lithuania (客队)：73.04%；平局：19.92%。 对于“Liechtenstein (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为14.21。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为15.00，对应+5.56%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.66%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.56%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -2.40%E -0.491%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.37%EV +2.05%E +0.141%K +0.152%G +0.003% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -14.35%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.37%EV +2.05%E +0.141%K +0.152%G +0.003% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -14.35%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.33%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-24 18:13 |
| Neds🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.72%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.37%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.72%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.37%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.52%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.52%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.52%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.52%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -1.47%E -0.105%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.52%EV -7.96%E -6.32%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -0.412%E -0.082%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 13.25I 7.55%NM 7.24%EV -6.75%E -0.510%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.19%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.57%EV -2.40%E -0.491%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.16%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.16%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.82%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.31%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.13%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -15.35%E -3.61%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.26%EV -8.69%E -6.96%K -34.78%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -10.16%E -8.26%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.03%EV -10.16%E -8.26%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.71%EV -11.33%E -0.899%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.50%EV -2.12%E -1.58%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.79%EV -2.20%E -0.449%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.15%EV -12.03%E -0.962%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.84%EV -11.62%E -9.60%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -6.39%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.20%EV -7.23%E -5.70%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.15%EV -9.37%E -2.06%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.85%EV -10.89%E -8.92%K -49.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.08%EV -19.07%E -1.66%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.57%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -4.40%E -0.916%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -7.23%E -5.70%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.39%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.20%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -16.35%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 0.3% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 0.3% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.64% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |