默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Liechtenstein v Lithuania

2026-09-24 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

13 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Liechtenstein (主队)

预测 10.10%9.90公平赔率
EV -0.039%
优势 -0.004%
Kelly -0.004%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 9.90

博彩公司预测分布
9.46%10.20%10.10%11.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.309.029.009.9012.05%11.08%11.11%10.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lithuania (客队)

预测 67.57%1.48公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -2.36%
Kelly -7.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
66.36%67.50%67.57%69.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.391.401.4376.92%72.18%71.43%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.33%4.48公平赔率
EV -1.73%
优势 -0.394%
Kelly -0.510%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
21.40%22.29%22.33%23.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.974.144.104.4025.19%24.13%24.39%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Liechtenstein (主队):10.10%;Lithuania (客队):67.57%;平局:22.33%。 对于“Liechtenstein (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.904。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为9.900,期望值为-0.039%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (13 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯9.90I 10.10%NM 9.78%EV -0.039%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.21%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -1.73%E -0.394%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-20 20:39
1xBet🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 10.01%EV -2.06%E -0.212%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.92%EV -3.38%E -2.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%EV -1.73%E -0.394%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-20 20:44
FanDuel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -4.08%E -0.429%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.65%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-20 20:39
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -4.08%E -0.429%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.14%EV -12.16%E -9.35%K -40.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-20 20:39
Suprabets🎯9.10I 10.99%NM 10.07%EV -8.12%E -0.892%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.86%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.07%EV -11.34%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-20 20:40
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -9.13%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.80%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 20:39
BetRivers🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -9.13%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.80%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 20:40
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -9.13%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.80%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -9.13%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.80%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 20:39
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -14.18%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.39%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -14.18%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.39%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 20:40
Betsson🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.03%EV -16.19%E -1.95%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.36%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.61%EV -9.55%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-20 20:39
NordicBet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.03%EV -16.19%E -1.95%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.36%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.61%EV -9.55%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-20 20:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-08-20 20:39

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