The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Kosovo v Republic of Ireland

2026-09-24 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kosovo (Local)

Prediction 37.02%2.70fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.54%37.02%37.12%37.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.552.6141.67%39.51%39.22%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Republic of Ireland (Visit)

Prediction 33.90%2.95fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.72%33.90%33.88%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.752.752.8638.17%36.35%36.36%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.08%3.44fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -0.864%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.64%29.08%29.00%29.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.183.153.3432.26%31.41%31.75%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kosovo (Local): 37.02%; Republic of Ireland (Visit): 33.90%; Draw: 29.08%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.34, with an expected value of -2.89%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.12%EV -3.37%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -3.04%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -2.89%E -0.864%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 20:39
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.12%EV -3.37%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -3.04%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -2.89%E -0.864%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 20:44
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.77%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.77%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.77%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:40
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.77%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:40
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.77%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.77%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.59%E -2.19%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.77%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.41%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
Suprabets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.29%E -3.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.72%EV -7.79%E -2.86%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.84%EV -7.54%E -2.37%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-20 20:40
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.29%E -3.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.96%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-20 20:39
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.14%E -4.64%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-20 20:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.