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Kosovo v Republic of Ireland

2026-09-24 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kosovo (Local)

Prediction 37.03%2.70fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.560%
Kelly -0.898%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.44%37.11%37.11%37.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6643.48%40.00%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Republic of Ireland (Visit)

Prediction 33.84%2.95fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.84%33.88%33.67%34.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.752.8739.22%36.44%36.36%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.82%29.01%29.22%30.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.143.153.2833.90%31.80%31.75%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kosovo (Local): 37.03%; Republic of Ireland (Visit): 33.84%; Draw: 29.13%. For Kosovo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.66, with an expected value of -1.49%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.44%EV -1.49%E -0.560%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.55%EV -4.47%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-07 12:20
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.44%EV -1.49%E -0.560%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.55%EV -4.47%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-07 12:20
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.94%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.94%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.94%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:40
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.94%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:40
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.94%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.94%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.94%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.94%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 07:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.88%E -1.00%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.80%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 06:09
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.88%E -1.00%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.80%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 06:09
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -3.55%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.26%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 06:09
Suprabets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.69%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.10%EV -8.97%E -3.33%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.21%EV -8.55%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 07:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.94%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 12:24
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.63%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.80%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-20 20:39
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -11.34%E -4.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 22:00
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.34%E -4.33%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-20 20:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.50%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.05%EV -8.63%E -3.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.45%EV -11.75%E -3.88%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 04:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -11.17%E -3.66%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-09 04:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.29%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.63%EV -13.70%E -5.37%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -14.08%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-09 04:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.