Language:English
Kosovo v Republic of Ireland
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kosovo (Local)
Prediction 39.24%2.55fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.919%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.46%39.25%39.26%39.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.402.4944.44%41.98%41.67%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Republic of Ireland (Visit)
Prediction 29.96%3.34fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -0.630%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.95%29.99%29.86%31.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.063.2934.48%32.35%32.68%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.80%3.25fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.83%30.76%30.88%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.023.003.1034.72%33.07%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kosovo (Local): 39.24%; Republic of Ireland (Visit): 29.96%; Draw: 30.80%. For Republic of Ireland (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.29, with an expected value of -1.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.98%EV -2.29%E -0.919%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.50%EV -1.44%E -0.439%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.51%EV -5.13%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.97%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -2.94%E -0.908%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.43%EV -6.05%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -4.64%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -4.64%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -4.64%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -4.64%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -4.64%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.34%EV -3.24%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.17%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 17:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-24 18:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -7.00%E -2.95%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.64%E -0.813%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -7.00%E -2.95%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-24 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -11.63%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -6.05%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-24 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.14%E -3.10%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.74%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.87%EV -8.03%E -2.62%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.26%EV -6.67%E -2.20%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.74%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.29%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.71%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |