默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kosovo v Republic of Ireland

开赛时间: 2026-09-24 18:46 UTC

最终结果: Kosovo 1–0 Republic of Ireland

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kosovo (主队)

预测 39.24%2.55公平赔率
EV -2.29%
优势 -0.919%
Kelly -1.54%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.49

博彩公司预测分布
38.46%39.25%39.26%39.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.382.402.4944.44%41.98%41.67%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

Republic of Ireland (客队)

预测 29.96%3.34公平赔率
EV -1.44%
优势 -0.439%
Kelly -0.630%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.29

博彩公司预测分布
28.95%29.99%29.86%31.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.093.063.2934.48%32.35%32.68%30.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.80%3.25公平赔率
EV -4.51%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -2.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
29.83%30.76%30.88%31.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.023.003.1034.72%33.07%33.33%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Kosovo (主队):39.24%;Republic of Ireland (客队):29.96%;平局:30.80%。 对于“Republic of Ireland (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.34。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.29,期望值为-1.44%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.98%EV -2.29%E -0.919%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.50%EV -1.44%E -0.439%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.51%EV -5.13%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-24 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.97%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV -2.94%E -0.908%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.43%EV -6.05%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 18:30
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -4.64%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 18:30
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -4.64%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 18:30
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -4.64%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -4.64%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -4.64%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 18:30
Suprabets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.34%EV -3.24%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.17%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 17:06
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 13:30
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 18:10
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-24 18:04
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.82%E -2.42%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 18:10
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -7.00%E -2.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -2.64%E -0.813%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -7.00%E -2.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 18:10
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-24 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-24 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -11.63%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -6.05%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-24 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-24 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-24 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.56%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.14%E -3.10%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-24 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.74%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.87%EV -8.03%E -2.62%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.26%EV -6.67%E -2.20%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-24 18:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.74%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.29%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-24 17:35
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.71%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-24 17:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-24 18:25