赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Italy v Belgium

开赛时间： 2026-09-25 18:45 UTC

最终结果： Italy 0–2 Belgium

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Italy (主队)

预测 44.33%2.26公平赔率
EV -2.47%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -2.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.13%44.23%44.31%45.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.76%46.51%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Belgium (客队)

预测 29.01%3.45公平赔率
EV -1.07%
优势 -0.314%
Kelly -0.445%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.41

博彩公司预测分布
28.16%29.19%29.06%31.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.173.153.4134.48%31.56%31.75%29.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.66%3.75公平赔率
EV -1.64%
优势 -0.445%
Kelly -0.610%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.69

博彩公司预测分布
25.53%26.58%26.63%27.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.503.503.6930.30%28.60%28.57%27.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Italy (主队)：44.33%；Belgium (客队)：29.01%；平局：26.66%。 对于“Belgium (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.45。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.41，期望值为-1.07%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 18:10
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 18:05
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.87%EV -2.52%E -0.751%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV -2.97%E -0.817%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-25 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.81%EV -4.24%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -1.07%E -0.314%K -0.445%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-25 18:40
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.64%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.35%EV -5.13%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.01%EV -1.64%E -0.445%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 18:40
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 17:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 17:55
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 17:44
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 18:33
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-25 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -15.87%E -5.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-25 18:10
Suprabets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -5.13%E -2.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 18:22
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -5.13%E -2.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -14.42%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-25 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -5.13%E -2.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -14.42%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-25 18:05
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.01%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.81%E -0.840%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.01%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.81%E -0.840%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -6.01%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-25 18:19
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -6.01%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-25 16:40
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.60%EV -6.46%E -3.06%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 18:25
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-25 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -9.12%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-25 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.12%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.12%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 18:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-09-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-09-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-09-25 18:40