Lingua:Italiano
Italy v Belgium
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Italy (Casa)
Previsione 44.33%2.26quota equa
EV -2.47%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.13%44.23%44.31%45.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.76%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Belgium (Trasferta)
Previsione 29.01%3.45quota equa
EV -1.07%
Vantaggio -0.314%
Kelly -0.445%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.41
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.16%29.19%29.06%31.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.173.153.4134.48%31.56%31.75%29.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 26.66%3.75quota equa
EV -1.64%
Vantaggio -0.445%
Kelly -0.610%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.69
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.53%26.58%26.63%27.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.503.503.6930.30%28.60%28.57%27.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Italy (Casa): 44.33%; Belgium (Trasferta): 29.01%; Pareggio: 26.66%. Per Belgium (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.45. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.41, con un valore atteso del -1.07%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-25 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-25 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-25 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-25 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -11.52%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.87%EV -2.52%E -0.751%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.64%EV -2.97%E -0.817%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.81%EV -4.24%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -1.07%E -0.314%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.64%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.35%EV -5.13%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.01%EV -1.64%E -0.445%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 17:43 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-25 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-25 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.16%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-25 17:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-25 18:33 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-25 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -15.87%E -5.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -5.13%E -2.40%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 18:22 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -5.13%E -2.40%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -14.42%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-25 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -5.13%E -2.40%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -14.42%E -4.89%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-25 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.01%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.81%E -0.840%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.01%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.81%E -0.840%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -6.01%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -6.01%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-25 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.60%EV -6.46%E -3.06%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.26%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.71%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-25 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.37%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-25 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -9.12%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-25 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.12%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.12%E -4.45%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |