預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Iceland v Estonia

開賽時間: 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC

最終賽果: Iceland 1–1 Estonia

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

26 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Iceland (主隊)

預測 74.67%1.34公平賠率
EV -5.17%
優勢 -4.07%
Kelly -19.15%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.27

博彩公司預測分布
72.73%74.66%74.54%77.06%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.181.241.251.2784.75%80.45%80.00%78.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Estonia (客隊)

預測 8.90%11.23公平賠率
EV +11.28%
優勢 +0.903%
Kelly +0.981%
成長率 +0.111%

假設最高賠率為 12.50

博彩公司預測分布
7.39%8.80%8.94%10.19%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.0010.6610.5012.5011.11%9.38%9.52%8.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 16.43%6.09公平賠率
EV +3.51%
優勢 +0.557%
Kelly +0.662%
成長率 +0.023%

假設最高賠率為 6.30

博彩公司預測分布
15.04%16.54%16.53%19.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.755.565.606.3021.05%18.00%17.86%15.87%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Iceland (主隊):74.67%;Estonia (客隊):8.90%;和局:16.43%。 對於「Estonia (客隊)」,該估計相當於11.23的公平十進位賠率。 當時有6家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為12.50,對應+11.28%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (26 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.35%EV -5.92%E -4.70%K -22.76%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +11.28%E +0.903%K +0.981%G +0.111%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -21.14%E -4.40%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.35%EV -5.92%E -4.70%K -22.76%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +11.28%E +0.903%K +0.981%G +0.111%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -21.14%E -4.40%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.68%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +6.83%E +0.569%K +0.621%G +0.042%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.34%EV +2.68%E +0.430%K +0.511%G +0.014%4.3%2026-09-26 15:55
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.99%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +6.83%E +0.569%K +0.621%G +0.042%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -3.07%E -0.520%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 15:54
Suprabets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.06%EV -8.16%E -6.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +6.83%E +0.569%K +0.621%G +0.042%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.04%EV +3.51%E +0.557%K +0.662%G +0.023%5.5%2026-09-26 15:57
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.14%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +6.83%E +0.569%K +0.621%G +0.042%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -21.96%E -4.62%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:55
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.07%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 15:55
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.07%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.07%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.07%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -8.91%E -7.30%K -40.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -2.07%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -3.07%E -0.520%K -0.626%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-26 15:59
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.52%E -0.621%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -7.99%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 15:45
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.52%E -0.621%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -7.99%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 15:45
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.52%E -0.621%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -7.99%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.98%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.88%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -6.52%E -0.621%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 15:54
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 15:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.16%E -6.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:55
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.16%E -6.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:58
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.89%E -10.08%K -66.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-26 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.70%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.88%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.37%EV -13.20%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -11.28%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -15.43%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -12.92%E -2.44%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 15:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -15.43%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -12.92%E -2.44%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.53%EV -9.65%E -7.98%K -45.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -15.43%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -14.57%E -2.80%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-26 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.16%E -6.63%K -35.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -19.88%E -2.21%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -1.42%E -0.237%K -0.285%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-26 15:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.46%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.40%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.14%0.1%2026-09-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.80%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09%0.4%2026-09-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-09-26 15:55