语言:简体中文
Iceland v Estonia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Iceland (主队)
预测 74.67%1.34公平赔率
EV -5.17%
优势 -4.07%
Kelly -19.15%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.27
博彩公司预测分布
72.73%74.66%74.54%77.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.241.251.2784.75%80.45%80.00%78.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
Estonia (客队)
预测 8.90%11.23公平赔率
EV +11.28%
优势 +0.903%
Kelly +0.981%
增长率 +0.111%
假设最高赔率为 12.50
博彩公司预测分布
7.39%8.80%8.94%10.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0010.6610.5012.5011.11%9.38%9.52%8.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 16.43%6.09公平赔率
EV +3.51%
优势 +0.557%
Kelly +0.662%
增长率 +0.023%
假设最高赔率为 6.30
博彩公司预测分布
15.04%16.54%16.53%19.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.565.606.3021.05%18.00%17.86%15.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Iceland (主队)：74.67%；Estonia (客队)：8.90%；平局：16.43%。 对于“Estonia (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.23。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.50，对应+11.28%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.35%EV -5.92%E -4.70%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +11.28%E +0.903%K +0.981%G +0.111% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -21.14%E -4.40%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.35%EV -5.92%E -4.70%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +11.28%E +0.903%K +0.981%G +0.111% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -21.14%E -4.40%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.68%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.99%EV +6.83%E +0.569%K +0.621%G +0.042% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.34%EV +2.68%E +0.430%K +0.511%G +0.014% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.99%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +6.83%E +0.569%K +0.621%G +0.042% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -3.07%E -0.520%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 15:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.06%EV -8.16%E -6.63%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +6.83%E +0.569%K +0.621%G +0.042% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.04%EV +3.51%E +0.557%K +0.662%G +0.023% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 15:57 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.14%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +6.83%E +0.569%K +0.621%G +0.042% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -21.96%E -4.62%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.07%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.07%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.07%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -2.07%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.89%EV -8.91%E -7.30%K -40.48%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -2.07%E -0.188%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -3.07%E -0.520%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.52%E -0.621%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -7.99%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.52%E -0.621%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -7.99%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.20%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -6.52%E -0.621%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -7.99%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.98%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -6.52%E -0.621%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.16%E -6.63%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.16%E -6.63%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -5.53%E -0.962%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 15:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.89%E -10.08%K -66.07%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -10.97%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.70%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.37%EV -13.20%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -11.28%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -15.43%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -12.92%E -2.44%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 15:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -15.43%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -12.92%E -2.44%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.53%EV -9.65%E -7.98%K -45.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -15.43%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -14.57%E -2.80%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.16%E -6.63%K -35.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -19.88%E -2.21%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -1.42%E -0.237%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.46% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.40% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.14% | 0.1% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.80% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 0.4% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |