Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iceland v Bulgaria

2026-10-03 16:00 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iceland (Casa)

Previsione 62.53%1.60quota equa
EV -4.33%
Vantaggio -2.83%
Kelly -8.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.32%62.38%62.57%63.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.491.501.5369.93%67.24%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Bulgaria (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.30%7.00quota equa
EV +3.93%
Vantaggio +0.540%
Kelly +0.627%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.33%14.38%14.26%15.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.706.516.507.2717.54%15.36%15.38%13.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.18%4.31quota equa
EV -2.66%
Vantaggio -0.633%
Kelly -0.830%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.44%23.23%23.17%24.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.034.104.2026.67%24.84%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Iceland (Casa): 62.53%; Bulgaria (Trasferta): 14.30%; Pareggio: 23.18%. Per Bulgaria (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 7.00. 2 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 7.27, con un valore atteso positivo del +3.93%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.50%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.36%EV +3.93%E +0.540%K +0.627%G +0.025%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-30 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.55%EV -5.58%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.33%EV +2.93%E +0.407%K +0.472%G +0.014%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.12%EV -3.82%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 13:45
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 13:30
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 13:30
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 13:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 13:30
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-30 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-30 13:30
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-30 13:45
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-30 13:35
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-30 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-30 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-30 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-30 13:31
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-30 13:30
Suprabets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.66%EV -6.83%E -4.59%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.99%EV -11.23%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-30 13:46
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.43%EV -8.08%E -5.50%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-30 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.34%E -6.44%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -8.91%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-30 13:30
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.23%E -2.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-30 13:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -10.59%E -7.40%K -24.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -14.23%E -2.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-30 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.16%EV -9.96%E -6.92%K -22.64%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -15.66%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.66%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-30 13:30
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -3.08%E -1.99%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -17.80%E -3.10%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-30 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.64%EV -10.59%E -7.40%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.46%EV -18.52%E -3.25%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.90%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-30 13:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.