Idioma:Español
Iceland v Bulgaria
Resultado del partido
Iceland (Local)
Predicción 62.53%1.60momio equitativo
EV -4.33%
Ventaja -2.83%
Kelly -8.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.32%62.38%62.57%63.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.491.501.5369.93%67.24%66.67%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Bulgaria (Visitante)
Predicción 14.30%7.00momio equitativo
EV +3.93%
Ventaja +0.540%
Kelly +0.627%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.33%14.38%14.26%15.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.706.516.507.2717.54%15.36%15.38%13.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.18%4.31momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -0.633%
Kelly -0.830%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.44%23.23%23.17%24.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.034.104.2026.67%24.84%24.39%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Iceland (Local): 62.53%; Bulgaria (Visitante): 14.30%; Empate: 23.18%. Para Bulgaria (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.00. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 7.27, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.93%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.50%EV -4.33%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.27I 13.76%NM 13.36%EV +3.93%E +0.540%K +0.627%G +0.025% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-30 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.55%EV -5.58%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.33%EV +2.93%E +0.407%K +0.472%G +0.014% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.12%EV -3.82%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.97%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.50%E -0.519%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 13:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.97%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-30 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.08%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -13.09%E -3.49%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-30 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -2.66%E -0.633%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-30 13:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.27%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.66%EV -6.83%E -4.59%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.99%EV -11.23%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-30 13:46 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.43%EV -8.08%E -5.50%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.34%E -6.44%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -8.51%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -8.91%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.23%E -2.37%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.29%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-30 13:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -10.59%E -7.40%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -14.23%E -2.37%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.16%EV -9.96%E -6.92%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -15.66%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.66%EV -8.45%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -3.08%E -1.99%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -17.80%E -3.10%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.93%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.64%EV -10.59%E -7.40%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.46%EV -18.52%E -3.25%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.90%EV -10.77%E -2.80%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.