The School of Odds
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Hungary v Georgia

2026-10-02 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hungary (Local)

Prediction 48.62%2.06fair odd
EV -0.330%
Edge -0.161%
Kelly -0.314%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.99%48.50%48.76%49.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.912.0555.56%51.94%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia (Visit)

Prediction 24.46%4.09fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.539%
Kelly -0.718%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.86%24.52%24.39%25.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.754.0029.41%27.00%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.98%26.85%28.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.403.5531.75%29.58%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hungary (Local): 48.62%; Georgia (Visit): 24.46%; Draw: 26.92%. For Hungary (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.05, with an expected value of -0.330%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -0.330%E -0.161%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -8.27%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -0.330%E -0.161%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -8.27%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -0.330%E -0.161%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -8.27%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 12:45
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.21%EV -2.15%E -0.539%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.36%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-29 13:20
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -11.94%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:44
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -11.94%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:45
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -2.76%E -1.38%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -11.94%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.41%EV -3.73%E -1.89%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.20%EV -3.13%E -0.791%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-29 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -4.22%E -2.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -13.16%E -3.71%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-29 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -4.22%E -2.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -13.16%E -3.71%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-29 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.23%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-29 12:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.05%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-29 13:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -15.61%E -4.52%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-29 12:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -15.61%E -4.52%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-29 12:45
Suprabets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.54%EV -6.16%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.73%EV -9.25%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.72%EV -10.90%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-29 13:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.05%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-29 13:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.94%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-29 13:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.12%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -16.83%E -4.95%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -15.21%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-29 12:45
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.27%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.27%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-29 13:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.60%E -4.57%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.27%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.57%EV -6.86%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-29 13:25
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.60%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-29 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.05%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-29 13:20
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -2.15%E -0.539%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-29 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.05%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-29 13:19
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.05%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-29 13:15
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.05%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-29 13:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.21%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.41%EV -8.76%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-29 13:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -4.60%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-29 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.01%EV -11.51%E -6.33%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -13.16%E -3.71%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-29 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -12.48%E -6.94%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -15.61%E -4.52%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-29 13:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%8.1%2026-09-29 13:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 48.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%8.1%2026-09-29 13:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 48.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%8.5%2026-09-29 13:20