Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hungary v Georgia

2026-10-02 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hungary (Casa)

Previsione 47.13%2.12quota equa
EV -3.38%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -3.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.99%47.09%47.27%47.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.971.962.0553.19%50.82%51.02%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Georgia (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.72%3.89quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.389%
Kelly -0.527%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.39%25.70%25.72%27.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.583.603.8330.77%27.96%27.78%26.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.15%3.68quota equa
EV -3.36%
Vantaggio -0.944%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.23%27.20%27.00%28.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.373.393.5631.75%29.71%29.50%28.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Hungary (Casa): 47.13%; Georgia (Trasferta): 25.72%; Pareggio: 27.15%. Per Georgia (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.89. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.83, con un valore atteso del -1.49%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 12:45
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.85%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.30%EV -1.49%E -0.389%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.21%EV -3.36%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-29 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.49%EV -3.29%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.07%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-29 14:08
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 14:10
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-29 14:01
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:44
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:45
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 12:45
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.73%E -2.87%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-29 13:50
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-29 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-29 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-29 12:45
Suprabets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.84%EV -7.62%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.08%EV -9.46%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.08%EV -7.97%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-29 13:44
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.23%EV -7.62%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-29 12:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.26%E -0.596%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-29 13:14
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-29 13:44
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-29 13:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-29 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-29 12:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-29 12:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.75%EV -6.62%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-29 13:53
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-29 13:49
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-29 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -9.50%E -4.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -15.12%E -4.58%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-29 14:10
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-29 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.70%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-29 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.12%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -14.49%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-29 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.10%EV -10.92%E -5.78%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.39%EV -7.92%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.50%EV -6.89%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-29 13:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -13.27%E -7.21%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -13.84%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -9.06%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-29 13:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%5.3%2026-09-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%5.3%2026-09-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%6.3%2026-09-29 13:50