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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Germany v Greece

開賽時間： 2026-09-27 18:45 UTC

最終賽果： Germany 0–1 Greece

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Germany (主隊)

預測 65.19%1.53公平賠率
EV -2.86%
優勢 -1.92%
Kelly -5.84%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.49

博彩公司預測分布
63.45%65.30%64.95%68.35%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.341.421.431.4974.63%70.22%69.93%67.11%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Greece (客隊)

預測 14.72%6.79公平賠率
EV +19.24%
優勢 +2.38%
Kelly +2.71%
成長率 +0.521%

假設最高賠率為 8.10

博彩公司預測分布
11.87%14.60%14.82%15.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.906.556.508.1016.95%15.26%15.38%12.35%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 20.09%4.98公平賠率
EV +5.45%
優勢 +1.04%
Kelly +1.28%
成長率 +0.070%

假設最高賠率為 5.25

博彩公司預測分布
18.62%20.10%20.23%22.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.674.705.2523.81%21.39%21.28%19.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Germany (主隊)：65.19%；Greece (客隊)：14.72%；和局：20.09%。 對於「Greece (客隊)」，該估計相當於6.79的公平十進位賠率。 當時有9家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為8.10，對應+19.24%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.18%EV -8.08%E -5.73%K -19.70%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.87%EV +19.24%E +2.38%K +2.71%G +0.521%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.95%EV -3.19%E -0.661%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -6.77%E -4.74%K -15.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.03%EV +10.41%E +1.39%K +1.60%G +0.167%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.62%EV +5.45%E +1.04%K +1.28%G +0.070%2.3%2026-09-27 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -6.77%E -4.74%K -15.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.03%EV +10.41%E +1.39%K +1.60%G +0.167%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.62%EV +5.45%E +1.04%K +1.28%G +0.070%2.3%2026-09-27 18:39
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +3.05%E +0.435%K +0.508%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +0.428%E +0.086%K +0.107%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.92%EV -9.38%E -6.75%K -24.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +3.05%E +0.435%K +0.508%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-27 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -10.03%E -7.27%K -26.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV +3.05%E +0.435%K +0.508%G +0.015%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -3.59%E -0.748%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-27 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV +3.05%E +0.435%K +0.508%G +0.015%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -9.61%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-27 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -6.77%E -4.74%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -13.63%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-27 18:40
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -6.77%E -4.74%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -13.63%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-27 18:40
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -0.633%E -0.094%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.58%E -0.322%K -0.405%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 18:25
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -0.633%E -0.094%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.58%E -0.322%K -0.405%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.86%E -1.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.79%EV -3.58%E -0.546%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.18%EV -3.59%E -0.748%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 18:35
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.85%EV -4.82%E -3.30%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 18:39
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -3.51%E -2.37%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -14.64%E -3.44%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 18:40
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.59%E -0.967%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-27 18:34
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -10.03%E -7.27%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -3.59%E -0.748%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 18:39
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.64%E -3.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-27 18:39
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.86%E -1.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.90%EV -4.90%E -0.759%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.58%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -5.78%E -0.904%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-27 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.58%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -5.78%E -0.904%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-27 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -12.64%E -9.43%K -37.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -7.99%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-27 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.51%E -2.37%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.51%E -2.37%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 18:25
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.51%E -2.37%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 18:25
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.51%E -2.37%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.77%E -4.74%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.59%E -0.748%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-27 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-27 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.61%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 18:29
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.61%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -13.15%E -2.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 18:40
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.81%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22%0.1%2026-09-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.87%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-09-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.87%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-09-27 18:40