Langue:Français
Germany v Greece
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Germany (Local)
Prévision 65.19%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -5.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.45%65.30%64.95%68.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.341.421.431.4974.63%70.22%69.93%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Greece (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.72%6.79cote équitable
EV +19.24%
Avantage +2.38%
Kelly +2.71%
Croissance +0.521%
avec la cote maximale 8.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.87%14.60%14.82%15.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.906.556.508.1016.95%15.26%15.38%12.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.09%4.98cote équitable
EV +5.45%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.070%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.62%20.10%20.23%22.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.674.705.2523.81%21.39%21.28%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Germany (Local) : 65.19% ; Greece (Visiteur) : 14.72% ; Match nul : 20.09%. Pour Greece (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.79. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.10, soit une espérance positive de +19.24%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.18%EV -8.08%E -5.73%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.87%EV +19.24%E +2.38%K +2.71%G +0.521% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.95%EV -3.19%E -0.661%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -6.77%E -4.74%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.03%EV +10.41%E +1.39%K +1.60%G +0.167% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.62%EV +5.45%E +1.04%K +1.28%G +0.070% | 2.3% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -6.77%E -4.74%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.03%EV +10.41%E +1.39%K +1.60%G +0.167% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.62%EV +5.45%E +1.04%K +1.28%G +0.070% | 2.3% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +3.05%E +0.435%K +0.508%G +0.015% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +0.428%E +0.086%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.92%EV -9.38%E -6.75%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +3.05%E +0.435%K +0.508%G +0.015% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -10.03%E -7.27%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV +3.05%E +0.435%K +0.508%G +0.015% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -3.59%E -0.748%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV +3.05%E +0.435%K +0.508%G +0.015% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -9.61%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -6.77%E -4.74%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -13.63%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.82%EV -6.77%E -4.74%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.63%EV +0.103%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -13.63%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -0.633%E -0.094%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.58%E -0.322%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -0.633%E -0.094%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -1.58%E -0.322%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.86%E -1.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.79%EV -3.58%E -0.546%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.18%EV -3.59%E -0.748%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.85%EV -4.82%E -3.30%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -3.51%E -2.37%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -14.64%E -3.44%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -4.59%E -0.967%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-27 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -10.03%E -7.27%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -3.59%E -0.748%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.73%E -6.24%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.31%E -0.664%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.64%E -3.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.86%E -1.92%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.90%EV -4.90%E -0.759%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.58%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -5.78%E -0.904%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.58%EV -11.34%E -8.34%K -31.49%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -5.78%E -0.904%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -12.64%E -9.43%K -37.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -7.99%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.51%E -2.37%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.51%E -2.37%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.51%E -2.37%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.51%E -2.37%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.77%E -4.74%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.59%E -0.748%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.61%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.12%E -4.25%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.67%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.61%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.43%E -5.23%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -13.15%E -2.23%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.81% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22% | 0.1% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.87% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.87% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 18:40 |