Language:English
Finland v Belarus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Finland (Local)
Prediction 62.10%1.61fair odd
EV -4.99%
Edge -3.26%
Kelly -9.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%62.12%62.28%64.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.5371.43%67.29%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Belarus (Visit)
Prediction 14.53%6.88fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +0.240%
Kelly +0.280%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.32%14.47%14.37%15.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.566.507.0016.95%15.25%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.38%4.28fair odd
EV -0.644%
Edge -0.152%
Kelly -0.198%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.09%23.41%23.35%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.994.004.2527.78%25.03%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Finland (Local): 62.10%; Belarus (Visit): 14.53%; Draw: 23.38%. For Belarus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.88. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -8.72%E -5.93%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -0.644%E -0.152%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -8.72%E -5.93%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -0.644%E -0.152%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 15:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -8.72%E -5.93%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -0.644%E -0.152%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -8.72%E -5.93%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -0.644%E -0.152%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 15:21 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -8.72%E -5.93%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -0.644%E -0.152%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -8.72%E -5.93%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -0.644%E -0.152%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 15:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +1.68%E +0.240%K +0.280%G +0.005% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.03%EV -5.61%E -3.69%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.88%EV +0.227%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -2.98%E -0.719%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.67%EV -7.48%E -5.02%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV +0.227%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -1.81%E -0.432%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 15:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.08%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.47%EV -1.23%E -0.180%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-29 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -11.20%E -7.83%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -1.95%E -0.289%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-29 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -5.61%E -3.69%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.26%EV -3.11%E -0.467%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.59%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.23%EV -4.13%E -0.626%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.99%E -3.26%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.99%E -3.26%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -5.61%E -3.69%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -11.20%E -7.83%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -11.20%E -7.83%K -26.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -10.58%E -7.35%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -10.58%E -7.35%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -5.58%E -0.859%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.16%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.82%EV -5.61%E -3.69%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -7.04%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.82%EV -5.61%E -3.69%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -7.04%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -7.48%E -5.02%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -7.04%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 15:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.57%EV -13.06%E -9.33%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -7.04%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-29 15:21 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -9.22%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.24%EV -8.10%E -5.47%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.74%EV -9.22%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 15:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.48%E -5.02%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -6.86%E -4.57%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -12.85%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.33%E -3.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.72%E -5.93%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.54%EV -14.30%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -2.98%E -0.719%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-29 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.99% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.14% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.28% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |