預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Finland v Belarus

2026-09-29 16:00 UTC — UEFA Nations League

獨贏

24 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Finland (主隊)

預測 55.07%1.82公平賠率
EV -4.74%
優勢 -2.74%
Kelly -6.49%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.73

博彩公司預測分布
53.60%54.85%55.44%56.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.641.691.701.7360.98%59.01%58.82%57.80%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Belarus (客隊)

預測 17.95%5.57公平賠率
EV +0.718%
優勢 +0.128%
Kelly +0.156%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 5.61

博彩公司預測分布
16.92%18.16%17.53%20.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.405.095.005.6122.73%19.65%20.00%17.83%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 26.98%3.71公平賠率
EV -1.79%
優勢 -0.492%
Kelly -0.678%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.64

博彩公司預測分布
26.17%26.99%27.03%28.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.203.393.403.6431.25%29.48%29.41%27.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Finland (主隊):55.07%;Belarus (客隊):17.95%;和局:26.98%。 對於「Belarus (客隊)」,該估計相當於5.57的公平十進位賠率。 有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為5.61,因此產生+0.718%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.06%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.29%EV +0.718%E +0.128%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.65%EV -1.79%E -0.492%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-27 13:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.08%EV -5.84%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.28%EV -0.359%E -0.065%K -0.079%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 13:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.26%E -0.229%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-27 08:30
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -3.05%E -0.565%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-27 08:30
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -3.05%E -0.565%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-27 08:30
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.49%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.79%EV -4.85%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.49%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.79%EV -4.85%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 08:30
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.51%EV -8.59%E -5.17%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -4.85%E -0.915%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 08:32
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -5.75%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 09:59
Suprabets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.52%EV -9.14%E -5.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -6.64%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.86%EV -8.00%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-27 08:32
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 10:00
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 10:00
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-27 08:29
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-27 08:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-27 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-27 08:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-27 08:29
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -10.23%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-27 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.14%EV -9.69%E -5.91%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.12%EV -12.03%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-27 08:30
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -13.82%E -2.88%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-27 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.20%EV -7.49%E -4.46%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -14.72%E -3.10%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.63%EV -7.73%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-27 10:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.76%EV -7.49%E -4.46%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -19.21%E -4.27%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -6.92%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-27 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.60%EV -8.59%E -5.17%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -21.01%E -4.77%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-27 10:04
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-09-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-09-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.46%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.73%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81%1.3%2026-09-27 13:30