Langue:Français
Denmark v Wales
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Denmark (Local)
Prévision 68.09%1.47cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -2.33%
Kelly -7.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.68%67.96%68.08%69.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.67%72.46%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Wales (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.02%7.68cote équitable
EV +4.15%
Avantage +0.519%
Kelly +0.593%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.70%13.15%13.11%14.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.257.187.008.0016.00%13.92%14.29%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 18.89%5.29cote équitable
EV +1.83%
Avantage +0.339%
Kelly +0.416%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 5.39
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.84%18.88%18.81%19.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.924.805.3922.22%20.33%20.83%18.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Denmark (Local) : 68.09% ; Wales (Visiteur) : 13.02% ; Match nul : 18.89%. Pour Wales (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.68. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.15%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -4.68%E -3.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +4.15%E +0.519%K +0.593%G +0.025% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV -1.76%E -0.339%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-27 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.24%EV -4.68%E -3.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +4.15%E +0.519%K +0.593%G +0.025% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV -1.76%E -0.339%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-27 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +4.15%E +0.519%K +0.593%G +0.025% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.72%E -4.90%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV +4.15%E +0.519%K +0.593%G +0.025% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.15%E +0.519%K +0.593%G +0.025% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.29%EV -6.04%E -4.37%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV +1.55%E +0.198%K +0.227%G +0.004% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.29%EV -6.04%E -4.37%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV +1.55%E +0.198%K +0.227%G +0.004% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.26%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.92%EV -2.36%E -0.314%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.82%EV -2.71%E -0.525%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-27 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.36%E -0.314%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.36%E -0.314%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.36%E -0.314%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -10.26%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-27 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.76%E -6.54%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -2.36%E -0.314%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-27 15:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.34%EV -3.99%E -2.83%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.35%EV -6.00%E -0.832%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.32%EV -0.628%E -0.119%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 15:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.68%E -3.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.87%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.68%E -3.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.87%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.68%E -3.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.87%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -4.68%E -3.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.87%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.04%E -4.37%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.87%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.26%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.87%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.26%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.44%EV -8.76%E -6.54%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -8.87%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-27 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.44%EV -8.76%E -6.54%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -8.87%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.10%E -2.85%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-27 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.48%EV -10.12%E -7.67%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -8.87%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-27 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.08%E -5.98%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -10.17%E -1.47%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 15:49 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.79%EV -4.68%E -3.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.96%EV -11.47%E -1.69%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -1.76%E -0.339%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -6.04%E -4.37%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -12.12%E -1.80%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.42%EV -13.16%E -1.97%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.84%EV +1.83%E +0.339%K +0.416%G +0.008% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.15%EV -5.36%E -3.85%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.38%E -2.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -4.60%E -0.910%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-27 15:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -6.72%E -4.90%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -15.38%E -2.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -1.76%E -0.339%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -6.04%E -4.37%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -15.38%E -2.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 15:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -15.38%E -2.37%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.26%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-27 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.21%EV -6.72%E -4.90%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -18.63%E -2.98%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.06%EV -3.65%E -0.716%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 15:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.96% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 0.7% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.96% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 0.7% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |