Language:English
Croatia v Spain
Head to Head
Croatia (Local)
Prediction 14.43%6.93fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.144%
Kelly +0.168%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.04%14.40%14.22%15.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.586.507.0017.54%15.19%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Spain (Visit)
Prediction 65.23%1.53fair odd
EV -7.37%
Edge -5.19%
Kelly -17.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.67%65.45%65.13%68.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.381.4273.53%72.18%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.34%4.92fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.339%
Kelly +0.423%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.33%20.16%20.65%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.634.605.0023.81%21.61%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Croatia (Local): 14.43%; Spain (Visit): 65.23%; Draw: 20.34%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.92. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.00, producing a positive expected value of +1.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.69%E +0.339%K +0.423%G +0.007% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +1.69%E +0.339%K +0.423%G +0.007% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 08:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -11.28%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +1.69%E +0.339%K +0.423%G +0.007% | 7.8% | 2026-10-01 08:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV +1.69%E +0.339%K +0.423%G +0.007% | 9.1% | 2026-10-01 08:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -11.28%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -2.37%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 08:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -11.28%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -2.37%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -11.28%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -2.37%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -11.28%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-01 08:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -6.21%E -0.955%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.21%E -0.955%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-01 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -6.21%E -0.955%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -11.53%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 11:21 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -7.65%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.43%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -12.54%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-01 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -14.87%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.98%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -12.54%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-01 11:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -9.82%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.70%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -13.56%E -3.19%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-01 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -17.75%E -3.11%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-01 11:21 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 36.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 29.01% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 34.86% | 151.6% | 2026-10-01 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 36.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 29.01% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 34.86% | 151.6% | 2026-10-01 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 36.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 29.01% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 34.86% | 151.6% | 2026-10-01 14:35 |