语言:简体中文
Croatia v Spain
胜负盘
Croatia (主队)
预测 14.43%6.93公平赔率
EV +1.01%
优势 +0.144%
Kelly +0.168%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.04%14.40%14.22%15.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.706.586.507.0017.54%15.19%15.38%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
Spain (客队)
预测 65.23%1.53公平赔率
EV -7.37%
优势 -5.19%
Kelly -17.55%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
63.67%65.45%65.13%68.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.391.381.4273.53%72.18%72.46%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.34%4.92公平赔率
EV +1.69%
优势 +0.339%
Kelly +0.423%
增长率 +0.007%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.33%20.16%20.65%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.634.605.0023.81%21.61%21.74%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Croatia (主队)：14.43%；Spain (客队)：65.23%；平局：20.34%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.92。 有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为5.00，由此产生+1.69%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.69%E +0.339%K +0.423%G +0.007% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +1.69%E +0.339%K +0.423%G +0.007% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 08:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -11.28%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +1.69%E +0.339%K +0.423%G +0.007% | 7.8% | 2026-10-01 08:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -13.42%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV +1.69%E +0.339%K +0.423%G +0.007% | 9.1% | 2026-10-01 08:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -11.28%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -2.37%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 08:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -11.28%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -2.37%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -11.28%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -2.37%E -0.495%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +1.01%E +0.144%K +0.168%G +0.002% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -11.28%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-01 08:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -6.21%E -0.955%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -6.21%E -0.955%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.48%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-01 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -6.21%E -0.955%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -11.53%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 11:21 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -7.65%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.43%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -12.54%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-01 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -14.87%E -2.52%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.98%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -12.54%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-01 11:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -9.82%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.70%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -13.56%E -3.19%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-01 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -17.75%E -3.11%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -14.58%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-01 11:21 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 35.68% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 28.65% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 35.68% | 154.8% | 2026-10-01 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 35.68% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 28.65% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 35.68% | 154.8% | 2026-10-01 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 35.68% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 28.65% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 35.68% | 154.8% | 2026-10-01 14:40 |