默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Azerbaijan v Lithuania

2026-10-04 13:00 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Azerbaijan (主队)

预测 41.19%2.43公平赔率
EV -4.03%
优势 -1.73%
Kelly -3.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.33

博彩公司预测分布
39.89%41.20%41.24%42.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.252.252.3347.62%44.36%44.44%42.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lithuania (客队)

预测 28.29%3.54公平赔率
EV -3.83%
优势 -1.13%
Kelly -1.60%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.37%28.29%28.20%29.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.283.303.4032.26%30.48%30.30%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.53%3.28公平赔率
EV +1.04%
优势 +0.314%
Kelly +0.450%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 3.31

博彩公司预测分布
29.24%30.51%30.56%31.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.023.003.3134.72%33.07%33.33%30.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Azerbaijan (主队):41.19%;Lithuania (客队):28.29%;平局:30.53%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.28。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.31,由此产生+1.04%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -4.03%E -1.73%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.11%EV -5.81%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.29%EV +1.04%E +0.314%K +0.450%G +0.005%3.2%2026-10-02 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.70%EV -5.26%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.06%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.24%EV +0.123%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 09:59
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 12:30
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 12:25
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 12:30
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 10:00
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 12:30
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.90%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 13:04
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.09%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 10:15
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.09%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 10:15
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.09%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 10:15
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.09%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 10:15
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.09%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.09%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.09%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.09%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.09%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.09%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.09%E -2.67%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 09:39
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.26%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 13:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-02 13:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -10.21%E -4.68%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 13:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.38%E -4.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-02 12:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.44%E -5.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-02 09:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.39%EV -8.56%E -3.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.68%EV -6.09%E -1.83%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.94%EV -9.34%E -3.14%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-02 09:39
Suprabets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.39%EV -6.50%E -2.86%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 28.74%EV -9.77%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.87%EV -9.34%E -3.14%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 11:07
Bovada🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.13%EV -5.68%E -2.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-02 11:13
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%EV -13.50%E -6.43%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-02 09:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.29%EV -10.87%E -3.72%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-02 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.29%EV -10.87%E -3.72%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-02 11:10
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-02 10:15
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-02 10:20
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.32%E -3.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.09%E -4.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-02 11:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99%5.3%2026-10-02 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%5.7%2026-10-02 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%5.7%2026-10-02 13:30