The School of Odds
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Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb

2026-11-05 20:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sunderland (Local)

Prediction 66.03%1.51fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -7.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.62%65.98%65.80%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.401.4674.07%71.13%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dinamo Zagreb (Visit)

Prediction 14.04%7.12fair odd
EV +5.33%
Edge +0.711%
Kelly +0.820%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.73%14.17%14.14%15.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.606.507.5018.18%15.16%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.93%5.02fair odd
EV -0.361%
Edge -0.072%
Kelly -0.090%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.90%19.86%20.06%20.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.634.605.0023.26%21.58%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sunderland (Local): 66.03%; Dinamo Zagreb (Visit): 14.04%; Draw: 19.93%. For Dinamo Zagreb (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.12. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +5.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +5.33%E +0.711%K +0.820%G +0.044%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.361%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 19:50
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.34%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%EV +3.93%E +0.531%K +0.614%G +0.024%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.55%EV -1.16%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.37%EV -6.24%E -4.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.11%EV +2.52%E +0.346%K +0.401%G +0.010%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.52%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV +1.82%E +0.251%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.51%EV -8.22%E -5.91%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV +1.82%E +0.251%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.35%E -0.906%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.95%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.56%EV -0.285%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.49%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 19:49
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -1.69%E -0.241%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.69%E -0.241%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.361%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 19:50
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.54%E -6.96%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.69%E -0.241%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -4.35%E -0.906%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -1.69%E -0.241%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 19:49
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.67%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.42%EV -7.87%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 19:50
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.67%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.42%EV -7.87%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.24%E -4.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -0.361%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 19:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:49
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:50
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -12.22%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -13.71%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-23 19:50
picklebet_au🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 23:25
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -6.24%E -4.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 23:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -10.86%E -8.05%K -31.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -14.31%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-23 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -6.24%E -4.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -17.14%E -2.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.62%EV -8.88%E -6.44%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.76%E -4.14%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -14.31%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-23 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%10.9%2026-10-24 01:15
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%16.7%2026-10-23 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 31.11%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%159.2%2026-10-23 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 31.11%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%159.2%2026-10-23 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 31.11%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%159.2%2026-10-23 19:50