默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb

2026-11-05 20:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sunderland (主队)

预测 66.03%1.51公平赔率
EV -3.60%
优势 -2.47%
Kelly -7.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.46

博彩公司预测分布
63.62%65.98%65.80%68.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.411.401.4674.07%71.13%71.43%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Dinamo Zagreb (客队)

预测 14.04%7.12公平赔率
EV +5.33%
优势 +0.711%
Kelly +0.820%
增长率 +0.044%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.73%14.17%14.14%15.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.606.507.5018.18%15.16%15.38%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.93%5.02公平赔率
EV -0.361%
优势 -0.072%
Kelly -0.090%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.90%19.86%20.06%20.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.304.634.605.0023.26%21.58%21.74%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Sunderland (主队):66.03%;Dinamo Zagreb (客队):14.04%;平局:19.93%。 对于“Dinamo Zagreb (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.12。 有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为7.50,由此产生+5.33%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +5.33%E +0.711%K +0.820%G +0.044%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.361%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 19:50
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.34%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%EV +3.93%E +0.531%K +0.614%G +0.024%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.55%EV -1.16%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.37%EV -6.24%E -4.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.11%EV +2.52%E +0.346%K +0.401%G +0.010%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.52%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV +1.82%E +0.251%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.51%EV -8.22%E -5.91%K -21.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV +1.82%E +0.251%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -4.35%E -0.906%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.95%EV -3.60%E -2.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.56%EV -0.285%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.49%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 19:49
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -1.69%E -0.241%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -1.69%E -0.241%K -0.282%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.361%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 19:50
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.54%E -6.96%K -25.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.69%E -0.241%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -4.35%E -0.906%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -1.69%E -0.241%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 19:49
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.67%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.42%EV -7.87%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 19:50
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.67%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.42%EV -7.87%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.24%E -4.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -0.361%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 19:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:49
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -8.71%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 19:50
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -12.22%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -13.71%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-23 19:50
picklebet_au🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 23:25
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -6.24%E -4.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 23:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.33%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -10.86%E -8.05%K -31.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -14.31%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-23 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -6.24%E -4.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -17.14%E -2.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.62%EV -8.88%E -6.44%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -22.76%E -4.14%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -14.31%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-23 23:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%10.9%2026-10-24 01:15
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%16.7%2026-10-23 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 31.11%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%159.2%2026-10-23 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 31.11%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%159.2%2026-10-23 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 31.11%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%1.12I 89.29%NM 34.44%159.2%2026-10-23 19:50