La scuola delle quote

SC Braga v SC Freiburg

Inizio: 2026-04-30 19:00 UTC

Finale: SC Braga 2–1 SC Freiburg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

SC Braga (Casa)

Previsione 38.93%2.57quota equa
EV +2.01%
Vantaggio +0.766%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.68%39.10%38.84%43.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.112.342.352.6247.39%42.66%42.55%38.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Freiburg (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.13%3.32quota equa
EV +0.934%
Vantaggio +0.279%
Kelly +0.397%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.57%30.08%30.09%31.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.143.103.3534.48%31.83%32.26%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.94%3.23quota equa
EV +6.73%
Vantaggio +1.95%
Kelly +2.75%
Crescita +0.185%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.03%30.82%31.06%33.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.123.153.4536.36%32.00%31.75%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.49%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.934%E +0.279%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%EV +6.73%E +1.95%K +2.75%G +0.185%2.3%2026-04-24 03:04
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.49%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.934%E +0.279%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%EV +6.73%E +1.95%K +2.75%G +0.185%2.3%2026-04-24 03:04
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.49%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.934%E +0.279%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%EV +6.73%E +1.95%K +2.75%G +0.185%2.3%2026-04-24 03:05
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -11.23%E -4.93%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV +0.934%E +0.279%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV +5.18%E +1.52%K +2.16%G +0.112%3.1%2026-04-24 03:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -13.18%E -5.91%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV +3.64%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056%5.5%2026-04-24 03:04
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -13.18%E -5.91%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV +3.64%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056%5.5%2026-04-24 03:04
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -13.18%E -5.91%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV +3.64%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056%5.5%2026-04-24 03:05
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -13.18%E -5.91%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV +3.64%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056%5.5%2026-04-24 03:04
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -13.18%E -5.91%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV +3.64%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056%5.5%2026-04-24 03:04
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.573%E -0.174%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.09%E +0.633%K +0.909%G +0.019%6.1%2026-04-23 18:00
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV +2.09%E +0.633%K +0.909%G +0.019%6.5%2026-04-24 03:05
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV +2.09%E +0.633%K +0.909%G +0.019%6.5%2026-04-24 03:04
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV +2.09%E +0.633%K +0.909%G +0.019%6.5%2026-04-24 03:04
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -15.12%E -6.94%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV +2.09%E +0.633%K +0.909%G +0.019%7.4%2026-04-24 03:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-23 21:50
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-23 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-23 21:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-23 21:49
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-23 21:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%7.0%2026-04-23 17:59
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.04%EV -17.85%E -8.46%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.92%EV -5.39%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.03%EV +0.234%E +0.072%K +0.104%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 23:09
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.52%EV -6.17%E -2.56%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:30
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:15
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -7.73%E -3.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.456%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.456%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:29
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 21:49
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:20
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 01:50
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-24 00:29
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -17.46%E -8.24%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-24 03:04
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -17.46%E -8.24%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.71%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:39
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 38.47%EV -0.328%E -0.128%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.76%EV -0.271%E -0.082%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 00:29
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -16.29%E -7.58%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 17:59
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-24 00:30
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.44%EV -1.89%E -0.748%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.76%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:04
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:50
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:43
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV +2.01%E +0.766%K +1.24%G +0.025%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 21:45
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV +2.01%E +0.766%K +1.24%G +0.025%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 21:50
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:25
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:14
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:15
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:14
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:15
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 00:24
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 37.96%EV -2.28%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -2.38%E -0.735%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -9.67%E -3.31%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:25
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.80%EV -1.89%E -0.748%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -2.98%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -9.67%E -3.31%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:50
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.80%EV -1.89%E -0.748%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -2.98%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -9.67%E -3.31%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:50
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 01:17
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 21:48
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -3.44%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -10.90%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 01:12
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:50
Suprabets2.42I 41.32%NM 37.89%EV -5.78%E -2.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.48%EV -6.30%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.63%EV -13.07%E -4.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:07
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:44
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 03:10
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.24%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.69%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 00:30
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.52%EV -3.83%E -1.55%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -2.98%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -14.93%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 21:48
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.0%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%6.6%2026-04-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%6.6%2026-04-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%6.6%2026-04-23 21:50
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%7.7%2026-04-23 21:50