L’École des cotes

SC Braga v SC Freiburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-30 19:00 UTC

Score final : SC Braga 2–1 SC Freiburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Braga (Local)

Prévision 38.93%2.57cote équitable
EV +2.01%
Avantage +0.766%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.68%39.10%38.84%43.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.112.342.352.6247.39%42.66%42.55%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Freiburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.13%3.32cote équitable
EV +0.934%
Avantage +0.279%
Kelly +0.397%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.57%30.08%30.09%31.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.143.103.3534.48%31.83%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.94%3.23cote équitable
EV +6.73%
Avantage +1.95%
Kelly +2.75%
Croissance +0.185%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.03%30.82%31.06%33.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.123.153.4536.36%32.00%31.75%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.49%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.934%E +0.279%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%EV +6.73%E +1.95%K +2.75%G +0.185%2.3%2026-04-24 03:04
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.49%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.934%E +0.279%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%EV +6.73%E +1.95%K +2.75%G +0.185%2.3%2026-04-24 03:04
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.49%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.934%E +0.279%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%EV +6.73%E +1.95%K +2.75%G +0.185%2.3%2026-04-24 03:05
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -11.23%E -4.93%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV +0.934%E +0.279%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV +5.18%E +1.52%K +2.16%G +0.112%3.1%2026-04-24 03:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -13.18%E -5.91%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV +3.64%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056%5.5%2026-04-24 03:04
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -13.18%E -5.91%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV +3.64%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056%5.5%2026-04-24 03:04
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -13.18%E -5.91%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV +3.64%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056%5.5%2026-04-24 03:05
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -13.18%E -5.91%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV +3.64%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056%5.5%2026-04-24 03:04
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -13.18%E -5.91%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV +3.64%E +1.09%K +1.55%G +0.056%5.5%2026-04-24 03:04
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.573%E -0.174%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.09%E +0.633%K +0.909%G +0.019%6.1%2026-04-23 18:00
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV +2.09%E +0.633%K +0.909%G +0.019%6.5%2026-04-24 03:05
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV +2.09%E +0.633%K +0.909%G +0.019%6.5%2026-04-24 03:04
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV +2.09%E +0.633%K +0.909%G +0.019%6.5%2026-04-24 03:04
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -15.12%E -6.94%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV +2.09%E +0.633%K +0.909%G +0.019%7.4%2026-04-24 03:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-23 21:50
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-23 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-23 21:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-23 21:49
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-23 21:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV +0.543%E +0.167%K +0.241%G +0.001%7.0%2026-04-23 17:59
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.04%EV -17.85%E -8.46%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.92%EV -5.39%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.03%EV +0.234%E +0.072%K +0.104%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-16 23:09
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.52%EV -6.17%E -2.56%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:30
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:15
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -7.73%E -3.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.456%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.456%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:29
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.13%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -5.09%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.43%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 21:49
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:20
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 01:50
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-24 00:29
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -17.46%E -8.24%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-24 03:04
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -17.46%E -8.24%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -2.55%E -0.810%K -1.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.71%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:39
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 38.47%EV -0.328%E -0.128%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.76%EV -0.271%E -0.082%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 00:29
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -16.29%E -7.58%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 17:59
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-24 00:30
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.44%EV -1.89%E -0.748%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -2.08%E -0.640%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.76%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:04
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 21:50
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.64%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:43
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV +2.01%E +0.766%K +1.24%G +0.025%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 21:45
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV +2.01%E +0.766%K +1.24%G +0.025%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 21:50
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:25
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:14
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:15
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:14
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:15
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.19%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 00:24
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 37.96%EV -2.28%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -2.38%E -0.735%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -9.67%E -3.31%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:25
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.80%EV -1.89%E -0.748%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -2.98%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -9.67%E -3.31%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:50
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.80%EV -1.89%E -0.748%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -2.98%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -9.67%E -3.31%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:50
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 01:17
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -12.62%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -10.28%E -3.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 21:48
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -3.44%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -10.90%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 01:12
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -11.83%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:50
Suprabets2.42I 41.32%NM 37.89%EV -5.78%E -2.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.48%EV -6.30%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.63%EV -13.07%E -4.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:07
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -2.66%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.61%E -3.20%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:44
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.60%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 03:10
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.24%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.69%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 00:30
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.52%EV -3.83%E -1.55%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -2.98%E -0.926%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -14.93%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 21:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.0%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%6.6%2026-04-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%6.6%2026-04-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%6.6%2026-04-23 21:50
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%7.7%2026-04-23 21:50