L’École des cotes

Porto v Nottingham Forest

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-09 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Porto (Local)

Prévision 47.19%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -3.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.66%47.15%47.09%50.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.911.992.002.0552.36%50.28%50.00%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nottingham Forest (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.24%4.30cote équitable
EV +6.19%
Avantage +1.35%
Kelly +1.73%
Croissance +0.107%

avec la cote maximale 4.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.24%23.28%23.28%24.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.064.104.5726.32%24.62%24.39%21.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.58%3.38cote équitable
EV -0.024%
Avantage -0.007%
Kelly -0.010%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.59%29.57%29.63%30.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.193.203.3832.26%31.33%31.25%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.04%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.24%EV +6.19%E +1.35%K +1.73%G +0.107%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.72%EV -0.024%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.54%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.93%EV -1.25%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.53%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-09 18:45
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.54%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.93%EV -1.25%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.53%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-09 18:45
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.54%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.93%EV -1.25%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.53%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-09 18:45
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.66%EV -3.74%E -1.83%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88%EV -1.25%E -0.294%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-09 18:45
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.88%EV -1.95%E -0.461%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.83%EV -0.911%E -0.272%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.29%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.88%EV -1.95%E -0.461%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.83%EV -0.911%E -0.272%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 18:55
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.65%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV -2.41%E -0.574%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 18:45
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.44%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.93%EV -2.41%E -0.574%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-09 18:09
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.02%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV -2.41%E -0.574%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 48.02%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV -2.41%E -0.574%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.61%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -3.57%E -0.861%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.11%EV -1.80%E -0.542%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 18:55
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.67%EV -4.16%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 18:10
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.72%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.93%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-09 18:30
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.96%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 18:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 18:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 18:15
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.39%E -0.724%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 18:15
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:45
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:45
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:45
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:45
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:45
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:45
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 18:55
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -7.04%E -3.58%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 18:10
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 18:53
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 18:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-09 18:55
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.26%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.74%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 18:20
Suprabets2.01I 49.75%NM 47.06%EV -5.16%E -2.57%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.29%EV -4.46%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 18:44
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 18:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 18:09
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-09 18:10
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -6.57%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 18:55
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:37
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:01
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:05
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 18:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 18:30
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 18:30
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.06%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 18:30
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 47.42%EV -7.52%E -3.83%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 18:55
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.88%E -5.17%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -9.38%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:10
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 46.19%EV -4.21%E -2.08%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -9.38%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 18:42
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.38%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 18:45
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.38%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.88%EV -6.57%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -10.54%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 18:10
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -10.54%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 18:05
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.63%E -2.81%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.61%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-04-09 18:55