Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nottingham Forest v Fenerbahce

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nottingham Forest (Local)

Prediction 61.71%1.62fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.87%61.62%61.68%62.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.531.5867.57%65.39%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fenerbahce (Visit)

Prediction 16.88%5.92fair odd
EV +2.12%
Edge +0.351%
Kelly +0.420%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 6.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.01%16.91%16.96%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.515.506.0520.00%18.14%18.18%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.41%4.67fair odd
EV -0.016%
Edge -0.003%
Kelly -0.004%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.33%21.47%21.37%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.404.6725.00%22.83%22.73%21.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nottingham Forest (Local): 61.71%; Fenerbahce (Visit): 16.88%; Draw: 21.41%. For Fenerbahce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.62%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 16.04%EV +2.12%E +0.351%K +0.420%G +0.009%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%EV -2.58%E -0.568%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.74%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV -2.10%E -0.362%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.74%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV -2.10%E -0.362%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.74%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV -2.10%E -0.362%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 19:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.44%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.63%EV -2.10%E -0.362%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -2.10%E -0.362%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -6.82%E -4.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:54
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 19:49
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 19:54
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.87%EV -3.79%E -0.664%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.90%EV -6.01%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 19:53
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 17.11%EV -4.97%E -0.882%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.13%EV -2.37%E -0.520%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.27%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -1.51%E -0.329%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.27%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -1.51%E -0.329%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:49
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.84%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.84%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.84%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.84%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:54
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.84%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:54
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -4.73%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 19:54
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -6.82%E -4.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 19:50
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.04%EV -2.50%E -1.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 19:49
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.04%EV -2.50%E -1.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:50
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 19:35
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:50
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 19:49
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:50
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.40%EV -2.50%E -1.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.83%EV -8.17%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.77%EV -0.016%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -8.85%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -1.51%E -0.329%K -0.421%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.85%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:50
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.85%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:49
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.29%EV -8.05%E -5.40%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -10.54%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.49%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -8.67%E -5.86%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -10.54%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 19:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -8.67%E -5.86%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -10.54%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -11.38%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -11.38%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -12.23%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.53%EV -8.05%E -5.40%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -12.23%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:54
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -15.60%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -15.60%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -15.60%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -15.60%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -15.60%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-02-26 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%0.7%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%0.7%2026-02-26 19:55
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-02-26 19:50
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-02-26 19:55