Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nottingham Forest v Fenerbahce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nottingham Forest (Local)

Prévision 61.71%1.62cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -4.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.87%61.62%61.68%62.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.531.531.5867.57%65.39%65.36%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fenerbahce (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.88%5.92cote équitable
EV +2.12%
Avantage +0.351%
Kelly +0.420%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 6.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.01%16.91%16.96%18.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.515.506.0520.00%18.14%18.18%16.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.41%4.67cote équitable
EV -0.016%
Avantage -0.003%
Kelly -0.004%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.33%21.47%21.37%23.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.384.404.6725.00%22.83%22.73%21.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nottingham Forest (Local) : 61.71% ; Fenerbahce (Visiteur) : 16.88% ; Match nul : 21.41%. Pour Fenerbahce (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.92. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.05, soit une espérance positive de +2.12%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.62%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 16.04%EV +2.12%E +0.351%K +0.420%G +0.009%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%EV -2.58%E -0.568%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.74%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV -2.10%E -0.362%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.74%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV -2.10%E -0.362%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.74%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV -2.10%E -0.362%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 19:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.44%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.63%EV -2.10%E -0.362%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV -2.10%E -0.362%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -6.82%E -4.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:54
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 19:49
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -2.94%E -0.512%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 19:54
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.87%EV -3.79%E -0.664%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.90%EV -6.01%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 19:53
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 17.11%EV -4.97%E -0.882%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.13%EV -2.37%E -0.520%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.06%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.27%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -1.51%E -0.329%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.27%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -1.51%E -0.329%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:49
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.84%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.84%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.84%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.84%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:54
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.84%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:54
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.83%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -4.73%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 19:54
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -6.82%E -4.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 19:50
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -5.47%E -0.977%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.22%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.04%EV -2.50%E -1.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 19:49
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.04%EV -2.50%E -1.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -4.35%E -2.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:50
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -4.97%E -3.22%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 19:35
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:50
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 19:49
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.16%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:50
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.40%EV -2.50%E -1.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.83%EV -8.17%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.77%EV -0.016%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -8.85%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -1.51%E -0.329%K -0.421%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.85%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:50
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.47%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.85%E -1.64%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:49
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.29%EV -8.05%E -5.40%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -10.54%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.49%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -8.67%E -5.86%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -10.54%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 19:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -8.67%E -5.86%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -10.54%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -11.38%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -11.38%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -12.23%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.53%EV -8.05%E -5.40%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -12.23%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -5.80%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:54
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -15.60%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.66%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -15.60%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -15.60%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -15.60%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -15.60%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-02-26 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%0.7%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%0.7%2026-02-26 19:55
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-02-26 19:50
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-02-26 19:55