Школа коэффициентов

Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa

Начало: 2026-04-30 19:00 UTC

Итог: Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Nottingham Forest (Хозяева)

Прогноз 37.27%2.68справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.873%
Преимущество -0.328%
Kelly -0.526%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.66

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.10%37.39%37.22%39.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.492.502.6643.48%40.08%40.00%37.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Aston Villa (Гости)

Прогноз 34.13%2.93справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.673%
Преимущество +0.228%
Kelly +0.345%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.53%34.08%34.15%35.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.752.752.9540.00%36.32%36.36%33.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.61%3.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.30%
Преимущество -0.378%
Kelly -0.532%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.63%28.53%28.63%29.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.053.283.303.4532.79%30.50%30.30%28.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV +0.673%E +0.228%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 23:10
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV +0.673%E +0.228%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 23:09
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV +0.673%E +0.228%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 23:09
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV +0.673%E +0.228%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 23:09
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -9.82%E -4.06%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV +0.673%E +0.228%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.30%E -0.378%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 07:19
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%EV -0.873%E -0.328%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.30%EV -2.06%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.70%EV -1.88%E -0.547%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:10
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:09
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:09
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:10
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:09
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:09
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:10
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.36%E -0.902%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.28%EV -3.42%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.70%EV -3.31%E -0.978%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 01:14
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.11%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 10:29
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.11%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 10:30
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:20
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 19:01
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 23:10
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 36.95%EV -3.85%E -1.49%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.42%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.63%EV -4.74%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.04%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -4.74%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:50
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.04%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -4.74%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 13:55
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 18:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 18:10
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 18:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 18:10
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 08:45
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.43%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.75%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.82%EV -7.88%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:04
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 17:00
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.27%EV -6.49%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 10:31
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 13:54
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 13:55
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:55
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 15:20
ReBet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.94%EV -10.17%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 23:20
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -12.43%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 23:09
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -12.43%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 23:10
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -14.29%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-20 19:04
Suprabets2.49I 40.16%NM 36.86%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.37%EV -8.88%E -3.33%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 28.77%EV -8.74%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:42
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:34
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 15:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 23:15
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:15
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 10:30
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 18:10
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -12.75%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 14:50
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.68%E -5.87%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 23:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 36.53%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%3.7%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 36.53%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%3.7%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.70%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%4.0%2026-04-23 21:50
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%5.3%2026-04-24 02:45