مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa

البداية: 2026-04-30 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nottingham Forest (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.27%2.68السعر العادل
EV -0.873%
الأفضلية -0.328%
Kelly -0.526%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.10%37.39%37.22%39.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.492.502.6643.48%40.08%40.00%37.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Aston Villa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.13%2.93السعر العادل
EV +0.673%
الأفضلية +0.228%
Kelly +0.345%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.53%34.08%34.15%35.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.752.752.9540.00%36.32%36.36%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.61%3.50السعر العادل
EV -1.30%
الأفضلية -0.378%
Kelly -0.532%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.63%28.53%28.63%29.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.283.303.4532.79%30.50%30.30%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV +0.673%E +0.228%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 23:10
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV +0.673%E +0.228%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 23:09
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV +0.673%E +0.228%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 23:09
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV +0.673%E +0.228%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-23 23:09
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -9.82%E -4.06%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV +0.673%E +0.228%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.30%E -0.378%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 07:19
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%EV -0.873%E -0.328%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.30%EV -2.06%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.70%EV -1.88%E -0.547%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:10
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:09
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:09
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.19%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:10
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:09
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:09
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -2.74%E -0.961%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:10
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.36%E -0.902%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.28%EV -3.42%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.70%EV -3.31%E -0.978%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 01:14
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.11%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 10:29
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -3.11%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 10:30
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:20
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 19:01
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 23:10
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 36.95%EV -3.85%E -1.49%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.42%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.63%EV -4.74%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.04%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -4.74%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:50
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.04%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -4.74%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 13:55
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 18:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 18:10
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 18:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 18:10
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 08:45
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.43%EV -7.58%E -3.06%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.75%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.82%EV -7.88%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:04
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 17:00
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.27%EV -6.49%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 10:31
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.73%E -0.804%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 13:54
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 13:55
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:55
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 13:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 15:20
ReBet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.44%E -3.89%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.94%EV -10.17%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 23:20
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -12.43%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 23:09
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -12.43%E -5.29%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 23:10
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -14.29%E -6.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-20 19:04
Suprabets2.49I 40.16%NM 36.86%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.37%EV -8.88%E -3.33%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 28.77%EV -8.74%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:42
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:34
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:10
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 15:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -5.59%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 23:15
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:15
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 10:30
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-20 18:10
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -12.75%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 14:50
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.68%E -5.87%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 23:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 36.53%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%3.7%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 36.53%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%3.7%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.70%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.71%4.0%2026-04-23 21:50
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%5.3%2026-04-24 02:45