La scuola delle quote

Ferencváros TC v SC Braga

Inizio: 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ferencváros TC (Casa)

Previsione 28.57%3.50quota equa
EV +0.569%
Vantaggio +0.162%
Kelly +0.226%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.49%28.65%28.37%30.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.263.253.5232.26%30.68%30.77%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Braga (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.23%2.37quota equa
EV -0.769%
Vantaggio -0.327%
Kelly -0.570%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.26%42.17%42.44%43.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.66%44.44%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.20%3.42quota equa
EV +0.752%
Vantaggio +0.218%
Kelly +0.307%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.22%29.19%29.19%30.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.243.253.4532.26%30.85%30.77%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV +0.752%E +0.218%K +0.307%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-12 19:50
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV +0.752%E +0.218%K +0.307%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV +0.752%E +0.218%K +0.307%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-12 19:45
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV -0.708%E -0.208%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 19:50
1xBet3.43I 29.15%NM 28.26%EV -2.00%E -0.584%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.57%E -2.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.85%EV -1.88%E -0.558%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:45
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV -4.57%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.04%E -0.878%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV -2.46%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 19:55
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -3.04%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 19:45
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -3.04%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 19:45
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV +0.569%E +0.162%K +0.226%G +0.001%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.19%EV -5.41%E -2.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 19:45
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:40
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:40
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:35
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:50
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:15
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:35
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:54
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%EV -0.769%E -0.327%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:55
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%EV -0.769%E -0.327%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:55
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.59%EV -5.41%E -2.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:55
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:54
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 19:40
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 27.78%EV -3.72%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -8.37%E -3.86%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.08%EV -5.96%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:40
Suprabets3.39I 29.50%NM 27.96%EV -3.15%E -0.928%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.51%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.53%EV -6.26%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:49
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:55
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:40
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 19:53
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:35
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -8.79%E -4.07%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 19:45
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -8.79%E -4.07%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 19:45
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:40
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.43%EV -8.37%E -3.86%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 19:50
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 19:55
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:55
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 19:55
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 19:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:35
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:34
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:35
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:35
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.33%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-12 19:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 30.03%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.99%-0.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22%0.3%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-12 19:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-03-12 19:55