مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ferencváros TC v SC Braga

البداية: 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ferencváros TC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.57%3.50السعر العادل
EV +0.569%
الأفضلية +0.162%
Kelly +0.226%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.49%28.65%28.37%30.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.263.253.5232.26%30.68%30.77%28.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

SC Braga (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.23%2.37السعر العادل
EV -0.769%
الأفضلية -0.327%
Kelly -0.570%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.26%42.17%42.44%43.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.66%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.20%3.42السعر العادل
EV +0.752%
الأفضلية +0.218%
Kelly +0.307%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.22%29.19%29.19%30.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.243.253.4532.26%30.85%30.77%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV +0.752%E +0.218%K +0.307%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-12 19:50
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV +0.752%E +0.218%K +0.307%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV +0.752%E +0.218%K +0.307%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-12 19:45
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV -0.708%E -0.208%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 19:50
1xBet3.43I 29.15%NM 28.26%EV -2.00%E -0.584%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.57%E -2.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.85%EV -1.88%E -0.558%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:45
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV -4.57%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.04%E -0.878%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV -2.46%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 19:55
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -3.04%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 19:45
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -3.04%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 19:45
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV +0.569%E +0.162%K +0.226%G +0.001%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.19%EV -5.41%E -2.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 19:45
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:40
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:40
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:35
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:50
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:15
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:35
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:54
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%EV -0.769%E -0.327%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:55
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%EV -0.769%E -0.327%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:55
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.59%EV -5.41%E -2.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:55
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:54
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 19:40
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 27.78%EV -3.72%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -8.37%E -3.86%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.08%EV -5.96%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:40
Suprabets3.39I 29.50%NM 27.96%EV -3.15%E -0.928%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.51%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.53%EV -6.26%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:49
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:55
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:40
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 19:53
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:35
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -8.79%E -4.07%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 19:45
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -8.79%E -4.07%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 19:45
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:40
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.43%EV -8.37%E -3.86%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 19:50
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 19:55
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:55
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 19:55
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 19:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:35
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:34
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:35
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:35
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.33%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-12 19:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 30.03%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.99%-0.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22%0.3%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-12 19:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-03-12 19:55