La escuela de los momios

Ferencváros TC v SC Braga

Inicio: 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ferencváros TC (Local)

Predicción 28.57%3.50momio equitativo
EV +0.569%
Ventaja +0.162%
Kelly +0.226%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.49%28.65%28.37%30.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.263.253.5232.26%30.68%30.77%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Braga (Visitante)

Predicción 42.23%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.769%
Ventaja -0.327%
Kelly -0.570%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.26%42.17%42.44%43.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.66%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.20%3.42momio equitativo
EV +0.752%
Ventaja +0.218%
Kelly +0.307%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.22%29.19%29.19%30.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.243.253.4532.26%30.85%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV +0.752%E +0.218%K +0.307%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-12 19:50
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV +0.752%E +0.218%K +0.307%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV +0.752%E +0.218%K +0.307%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-12 19:45
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -4.29%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV -0.708%E -0.208%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 19:50
1xBet3.43I 29.15%NM 28.26%EV -2.00%E -0.584%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.57%E -2.02%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.85%EV -1.88%E -0.558%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:45
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -2.17%E -0.647%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV -4.57%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.04%E -0.878%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.07%EV -2.46%E -0.737%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 19:55
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -3.04%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 19:45
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.39%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -3.04%E -0.917%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 19:45
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV +0.569%E +0.162%K +0.226%G +0.001%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.19%EV -5.41%E -2.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 19:45
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:40
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:40
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:35
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:50
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:15
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:35
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:54
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%EV -0.769%E -0.327%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:55
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%EV -0.769%E -0.327%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:55
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.59%EV -5.41%E -2.42%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:55
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:54
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 19:40
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 27.78%EV -3.72%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -8.37%E -3.86%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.08%EV -5.96%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:40
Suprabets3.39I 29.50%NM 27.96%EV -3.15%E -0.928%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.51%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.53%EV -6.26%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:49
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:55
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.86%E -0.841%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:40
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 19:53
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:35
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -8.79%E -4.07%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 19:45
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -8.79%E -4.07%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 19:45
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:40
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.43%EV -8.37%E -3.86%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 19:50
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 19:55
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:55
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 19:55
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -3.73%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 19:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:35
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:34
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:35
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:35
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.33%E -5.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-12 19:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 30.03%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.99%-0.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22%0.3%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-12 19:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.65%0.4%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%1.2%2026-03-12 19:55