Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Celta Vigo v PAOK

Начало: 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Celta Vigo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 58.17%1.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.523%
Преимущество -0.306%
Kelly -0.736%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.71

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.36%58.06%58.22%59.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.591.631.621.7162.89%61.28%61.73%58.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

PAOK (Гости)

Прогноз 17.29%5.78справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.75%
Преимущество +0.625%
Kelly +0.749%
Рост +0.028%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.03%17.31%17.25%18.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.905.355.306.0020.41%18.71%18.87%16.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 24.53%4.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.86%
Преимущество -0.465%
Kelly -0.620%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.42%24.63%24.53%25.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.803.804.0027.78%26.31%26.32%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Celta Vigo (Хозяева): 58.17%; PAOK (Гости): 17.29%; Ничья: 24.53%. Для исхода «PAOK (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.78. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.75%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.03%EV +3.75%E +0.625%K +0.749%G +0.028%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.66%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:45
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.03%EV +3.75%E +0.625%K +0.749%G +0.028%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.66%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.61%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV +1.15%E +0.197%K +0.238%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.65%EV -0.230%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.65%EV -0.230%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:20
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.45%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.89%EV -1.27%E -0.222%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.66%EV -4.07%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.62%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.17%EV -3.17%E -0.566%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.22%EV -2.60%E -0.654%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 19:24
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -3.09%E -0.782%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 19:30
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:41
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.22%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.63%EV -6.03%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:35
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 19:40
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 19:42
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:00
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:26
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.98%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.04%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-26 19:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.98%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.04%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-26 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.98%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.04%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-26 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.79%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.09%E -0.782%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.36%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.66%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -8.36%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:40
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:45
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:50
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:25
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:49
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.82%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 19:44
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.42%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -11.81%E -2.32%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 19:54
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:50
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:44
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 19:31
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -15.27%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 19:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -15.27%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 19:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-02-26 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-02-26 19:50
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-02-26 19:50
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-02-26 19:55