La escuela de los momiosCelta Vigo v PAOK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Celta Vigo (Local)
Predicción 58.17%1.72momio equitativo
EV -0.523%
Ventaja -0.306%
Kelly -0.736%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.36%58.06%58.22%59.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.631.621.7162.89%61.28%61.73%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
PAOK (Visitante)
Predicción 17.29%5.78momio equitativo
EV +3.75%
Ventaja +0.625%
Kelly +0.749%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.03%17.31%17.25%18.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.355.306.0020.41%18.71%18.87%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.53%4.08momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.465%
Kelly -0.620%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.42%24.63%24.53%25.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.803.804.0027.78%26.31%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.03%EV +3.75%E +0.625%K +0.749%G +0.028% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.66%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.03%EV +3.75%E +0.625%K +0.749%G +0.028% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.66%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.61%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV +1.15%E +0.197%K +0.238%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.65%EV -0.230%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.65%EV -0.230%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 19:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.45%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.89%EV -1.27%E -0.222%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.66%EV -4.07%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.62%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.17%EV -3.17%E -0.566%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.22%EV -2.60%E -0.654%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 19:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 16:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -3.09%E -0.782%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 19:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:41 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.22%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.63%EV -6.03%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 19:42 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 19:00 |
| Caesars | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 19:26 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.98%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.04%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.98%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.04%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.98%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.04%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.79%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.09%E -0.782%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.36%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.66%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -8.36%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 19:25 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.82%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.42%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -11.81%E -2.32%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-26 19:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-26 19:31 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-26 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -15.27%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -15.27%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 19:55 |