L’École des cotes

Celta Vigo v PAOK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Prévision 58.17%1.72cote équitable
EV -0.523%
Avantage -0.306%
Kelly -0.736%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.36%58.06%58.22%59.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.591.631.621.7162.89%61.28%61.73%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

PAOK (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.29%5.78cote équitable
EV +3.75%
Avantage +0.625%
Kelly +0.749%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.03%17.31%17.25%18.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.355.306.0020.41%18.71%18.87%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.53%4.08cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.465%
Kelly -0.620%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.42%24.63%24.53%25.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.803.804.0027.78%26.31%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.03%EV +3.75%E +0.625%K +0.749%G +0.028%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.66%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:45
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.03%EV +3.75%E +0.625%K +0.749%G +0.028%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.66%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:45
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.61%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV +1.15%E +0.197%K +0.238%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 19:55
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.65%EV -0.230%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.65%EV -0.230%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:20
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.45%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.89%EV -1.27%E -0.222%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.66%EV -4.07%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.62%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.17%EV -3.17%E -0.566%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.22%EV -2.60%E -0.654%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 19:24
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 16:50
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -3.09%E -0.782%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 19:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 19:30
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:41
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:20
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.22%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.63%EV -6.03%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:35
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 19:40
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 19:42
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:55
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:00
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:26
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -4.90%E -0.891%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:35
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.98%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.04%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-26 19:49
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.98%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.04%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-26 19:50
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.98%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.04%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-26 19:50
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.79%EV -0.523%E -0.306%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.98%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 19:50
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -4.59%E -2.80%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:25
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -6.63%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -3.09%E -0.782%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.36%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 19:54
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.66%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -8.36%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 19:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:40
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:45
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:50
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:50
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.86%EV -3.43%E -2.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 19:40
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:25
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.22%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:40
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:45
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:49
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.91%EV -4.01%E -2.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.82%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:35
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -10.09%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 19:44
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.42%EV -7.50%E -4.72%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -11.81%E -2.32%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 19:54
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:50
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 19:50
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.92%E -4.33%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 19:31
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 19:25
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.34%E -3.94%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 19:30
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -15.27%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 19:49
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -5.76%E -3.55%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -15.27%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 19:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-02-26 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-02-26 19:50
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%0.2%2026-02-26 19:50
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-02-26 19:55