A Escola das Odds

Celta Vigo v Lyon

Início: 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Previsão 49.86%2.01odd justa
EV -0.285%
Vantagem -0.143%
Kelly -0.285%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.65%49.93%49.79%51.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.61%52.36%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lyon (Visitante)

Previsão 22.64%4.42odd justa
EV +4.13%
Vantagem +0.898%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescimento +0.047%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.89%22.54%22.72%25.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.114.104.6027.78%24.34%24.39%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.51%3.64odd justa
EV -0.981%
Vantagem -0.273%
Kelly -0.377%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.86%27.52%27.48%29.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.433.453.6030.77%29.11%28.99%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.66%EV -7.27%E -3.91%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +4.13%E +0.898%K +1.15%G +0.047%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:50
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.44%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV +1.87%E +0.415%K +0.534%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.44%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV +1.87%E +0.415%K +0.534%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:35
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.68%EV +0.963%E +0.216%K +0.278%G +0.003%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.95%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 19:45
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 50.53%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.395%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.76%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.76%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -0.395%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 19:40
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.94%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.91%EV -1.98%E -0.457%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.15%EV -7.31%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 19:44
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -1.98%E -0.457%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 19:35
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -1.98%E -0.457%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.92%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.29%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 19:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 19:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:40
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:53
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 19:55
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -10.26%E -5.70%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:55
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.47%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 49.47%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 19:55
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.92%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.36%E -0.664%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 19:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 19:30
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:40
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.94%EV -0.285%E -0.143%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-12 19:25
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.94%EV -0.285%E -0.143%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-12 19:25
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.94%EV -0.285%E -0.143%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-12 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.13%EV -1.78%E -0.904%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -2.36%E -0.664%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 19:25
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:30
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:35
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 18:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 19:45
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 19:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:25
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.76%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 19:55
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 19:54
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 19:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.76%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:25
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:25
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:25
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:25
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:25
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:25
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:30
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.42%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -7.27%E -3.91%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 18:55
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -8.76%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-12 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.11%E -4.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 19:25
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.11%E -4.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 19:25
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -0.285%E -0.143%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -18.50%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-03-12 19:55