مدرسة الاحتمالات

Celta Vigo v Lyon

البداية: 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Celta Vigo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.86%2.01السعر العادل
EV -0.285%
الأفضلية -0.143%
Kelly -0.285%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.65%49.93%49.79%51.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.61%52.36%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lyon (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.64%4.42السعر العادل
EV +4.13%
الأفضلية +0.898%
Kelly +1.15%
النمو +0.047%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.89%22.54%22.72%25.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.114.104.6027.78%24.34%24.39%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.51%3.64السعر العادل
EV -0.981%
الأفضلية -0.273%
Kelly -0.377%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.86%27.52%27.48%29.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.433.453.6030.77%29.11%28.99%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.66%EV -7.27%E -3.91%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +4.13%E +0.898%K +1.15%G +0.047%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:50
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.44%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV +1.87%E +0.415%K +0.534%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.44%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV +1.87%E +0.415%K +0.534%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:35
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.68%EV +0.963%E +0.216%K +0.278%G +0.003%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.95%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 19:45
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 50.53%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.395%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.76%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.76%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -0.395%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 19:40
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.94%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.91%EV -1.98%E -0.457%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.15%EV -7.31%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 19:44
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.85%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -1.98%E -0.457%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 19:35
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -1.98%E -0.457%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.92%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.29%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 19:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 19:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:40
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:53
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 19:55
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -10.26%E -5.70%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -2.66%E -0.618%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:55
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.47%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 49.47%EV -2.78%E -1.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 19:55
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.92%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.36%E -0.664%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 19:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 19:30
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:40
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.94%EV -0.285%E -0.143%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-12 19:25
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.94%EV -0.285%E -0.143%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-12 19:25
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.94%EV -0.285%E -0.143%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-12 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.13%EV -1.78%E -0.904%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -2.36%E -0.664%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 19:25
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:30
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.19%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:35
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 18:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 19:45
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 19:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.77%E -2.50%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:25
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.76%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -0.981%E -0.273%K -0.377%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 19:55
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 19:54
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 19:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.76%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:25
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:25
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -3.78%E -1.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:25
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:25
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:25
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.58%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:25
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.27%E -2.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:30
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.42%EV -4.27%E -2.23%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -7.27%E -3.91%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 18:55
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -8.76%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-12 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.11%E -4.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 19:25
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.11%E -4.03%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 19:25
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -0.285%E -0.143%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -18.50%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-03-12 19:55