L’École des cotes

Bologna v AS Roma

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bologna (Local)

Prévision 30.89%3.24cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.363%
Kelly -0.528%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.83%30.97%30.88%32.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.053.083.2035.09%32.80%32.47%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AS Roma (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.59%2.66cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.580%
Kelly -0.939%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.19%37.59%37.57%38.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.512.502.6241.67%39.78%40.00%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.53%3.17cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.732%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.08%31.44%31.55%32.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.983.003.1035.71%33.53%33.33%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV -2.27%E -0.874%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:10
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV -2.27%E -0.874%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:10
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV -2.27%E -0.874%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:10
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV -2.27%E -0.874%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:10
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.34%EV -6.41%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:20
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -2.09%E -0.659%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.52%EV -3.22%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 17:40
Coolbet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -2.40%E -0.759%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.92%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 08:20
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -4.90%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 17:25
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -4.90%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 17:25
Marathon Bet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -3.02%E -0.960%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.55%EV -3.78%E -1.47%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -4.79%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 17:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV -1.52%E -0.580%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 17:35
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV -1.52%E -0.580%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 17:35
ReBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -3.40%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.47%EV -3.53%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 16:50
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 16:40
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:15
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:40
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:35
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:35
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.96%EV -7.16%E -2.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 17:39
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:10
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:10
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:10
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:35
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:35
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.49%EV -4.87%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.52%E -0.580%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.49%EV -2.90%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 17:35
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 16:40
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 17:18
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -8.66%E -3.56%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 17:10
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -8.66%E -3.56%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 17:10
Suprabets3.03I 33.00%NM 31.25%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -4.53%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.46%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:36
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 16:40
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:20
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 17:35
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.59%EV -7.16%E -2.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 17:20
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 17:35
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:20
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-12 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 16:50
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.27%E -0.874%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 16:40
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:35
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 16:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:05
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:04
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:05
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:05
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 17:40
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -11.97%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%0.2%2026-03-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-03-12 17:35
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.11%3.0%2026-03-12 17:40