La escuela de los momios

Bologna v AS Roma

Inicio: 2026-03-12 17:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bologna (Local)

Predicción 30.89%3.24momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.363%
Kelly -0.528%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.83%30.97%30.88%32.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.053.083.2035.09%32.80%32.47%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AS Roma (Visitante)

Predicción 37.59%2.66momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.580%
Kelly -0.939%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.19%37.59%37.57%38.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.512.502.6241.67%39.78%40.00%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.53%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.732%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.08%31.44%31.55%32.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.983.003.1035.71%33.53%33.33%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV -2.27%E -0.874%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:10
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV -2.27%E -0.874%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:10
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV -2.27%E -0.874%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:10
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV -2.27%E -0.874%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 17:10
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.83%EV -1.16%E -0.363%K -0.528%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.34%EV -6.41%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:20
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -2.09%E -0.659%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.95%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.52%EV -3.22%E -1.05%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 17:40
Coolbet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -2.40%E -0.759%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.92%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 08:20
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -4.90%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 17:25
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -2.71%E -0.859%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -4.90%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 17:25
Marathon Bet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -3.02%E -0.960%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.55%EV -3.78%E -1.47%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -4.79%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 17:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV -1.52%E -0.580%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 17:35
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%EV -1.52%E -0.580%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 17:35
ReBet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -3.40%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.47%EV -3.53%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 16:50
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 16:40
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:15
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:40
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:35
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:35
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.96%EV -7.16%E -2.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 17:39
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:10
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:10
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:10
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:35
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.25%E -1.37%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:35
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.49%EV -4.87%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.52%E -0.580%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.49%EV -2.90%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 17:35
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 16:40
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 17:18
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -8.66%E -3.56%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 17:10
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -8.66%E -3.56%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 17:10
Suprabets3.03I 33.00%NM 31.25%EV -6.41%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -4.53%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.46%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:36
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 16:40
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:20
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 17:35
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.59%EV -7.16%E -2.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 17:20
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 17:35
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:20
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.34%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-12 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -8.88%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 16:50
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.27%E -0.874%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 16:40
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:35
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -2.27%E -0.732%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 16:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:05
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:04
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:05
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.03%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:05
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.91%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 17:40
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -11.97%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -4.15%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%0.2%2026-03-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-03-12 17:35
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.11%3.0%2026-03-12 17:40