Language:English
Benfica v Celtic
Head to Head
Benfica (Local)
Prediction 75.49%1.32fair odd
EV -4.89%
Edge -3.88%
Kelly -18.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.46%75.32%75.58%77.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.221.221.2686.21%81.65%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Celtic (Visit)
Prediction 9.01%11.09fair odd
EV +9.07%
Edge +0.750%
Kelly +0.817%
Growth +0.074%
assuming max odds 12.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.79%9.07%8.94%10.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0010.3910.0012.1012.50%9.63%10.00%8.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.50%6.45fair odd
EV +0.587%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.107%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 6.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.67%15.60%15.49%16.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.936.006.4918.18%16.87%16.67%15.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Benfica (Local): 75.49%; Celtic (Visit): 9.01%; Draw: 15.50%. For Celtic (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.09. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.10, producing a positive expected value of +9.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.03%EV -4.89%E -3.88%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 12.10I 8.26%NM 8.02%EV +9.07%E +0.750%K +0.817%G +0.074% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.95%EV +0.587%E +0.090%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-09-22 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.10%EV -6.40%E -5.16%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV +8.17%E +0.681%K +0.743%G +0.061% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94%EV -0.808%E -0.126%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-22 12:22 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +8.17%E +0.681%K +0.743%G +0.061% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.91%E -6.48%K -35.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +8.17%E +0.681%K +0.743%G +0.061% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 12:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -6.40%E -5.16%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +3.66%E +0.318%K +0.349%G +0.013% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 13:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.42%E -7.85%K -47.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.846%E -0.077%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-22 12:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.42%E -7.85%K -47.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.846%E -0.077%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-22 12:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.42%E -7.85%K -47.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.846%E -0.077%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-22 13:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.92%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 10.82I 9.24%NM 8.77%EV -2.47%E -0.228%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.31%EV -3.91%E -0.630%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 13:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -8.66%E -7.16%K -41.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -5.35%E -0.510%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-22 12:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.86%E -0.986%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-22 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.86%E -0.986%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-22 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.86%E -0.986%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-22 12:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.64%E -4.51%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -9.86%E -0.986%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-22 12:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.40%E -5.16%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.86%E -0.986%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.01%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -7.91%E -6.48%K -35.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -9.86%E -0.986%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -14.76%E -2.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-22 12:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.55%EV -7.15%E -5.81%K -31.09%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -11.66%E -1.19%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.09%EV -11.66%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-22 12:57 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.64%EV -7.91%E -6.48%K -35.93%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.39%EV -12.56%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -11.66%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 12:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -7.91%E -6.48%K -35.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -14.37%E -1.51%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.76%E -2.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 12:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.42%E -7.85%K -47.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -14.37%E -1.51%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.76%E -2.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-22 12:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.02%EV -12.43%E -10.72%K -77.72%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -14.37%E -1.51%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.82%EV -14.76%E -2.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-22 12:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -7.91%E -6.48%K -35.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -18.87%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -3.13%E -0.501%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-22 12:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.46%EV -10.17%E -8.55%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.93%EV -27.89%E -3.49%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -13.21%E -2.36%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-22 12:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-09-22 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-09-22 13:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-09-22 13:35 |